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PDE-constrained Gaussian process surrogate modeling with uncertain data locations

Ye, Dongwei ; Yan, Weihao ; Brune, Christoph and Guo, Mengwu LU (2025) In Advanced Modeling and Simulation in Engineering Sciences 12.
Abstract

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability of input data into the Gaussian process regression for function and partial differential equation approximation. Leveraging two types of observables—noise-corrupted outputs with certain inputs and those with prior-distribution-defined uncertain inputs, a posterior distribution of uncertain inputs is estimated via Bayesian inference. Thereafter, such quantified uncertainties of inputs are incorporated into Gaussian process predictions by means of marginalization. The setting of two types of data aligns... (More)

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability of input data into the Gaussian process regression for function and partial differential equation approximation. Leveraging two types of observables—noise-corrupted outputs with certain inputs and those with prior-distribution-defined uncertain inputs, a posterior distribution of uncertain inputs is estimated via Bayesian inference. Thereafter, such quantified uncertainties of inputs are incorporated into Gaussian process predictions by means of marginalization. The setting of two types of data aligns with common scenarios of constructing surrogate models for the solutions of partial differential equations, where the data of boundary conditions and initial conditions are typically known while the data of solution may involve uncertainties due to the measurement or stochasticity. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through several numerical examples including multiple one-dimensional functions, the heat equation and Allen–Cahn equation. A consistently good performance of generalization is observed, and a substantial reduction in the predictive uncertainties is achieved by the Bayesian inference of uncertain inputs.

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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Data-driven modeling, Gaussian process, Machine learning, Partial differential equation, Uncertain input
in
Advanced Modeling and Simulation in Engineering Sciences
volume
12
article number
33
pages
21 pages
publisher
Springer
external identifiers
  • scopus:105021269377
ISSN
2213-7467
DOI
10.1186/s40323-025-00308-3
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s) 2025.
id
04e75105-826f-4c87-b107-6fcd92eb5d9b
date added to LUP
2025-12-01 11:23:35
date last changed
2025-12-18 16:31:22
@article{04e75105-826f-4c87-b107-6fcd92eb5d9b,
  abstract     = {{<p>Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability of input data into the Gaussian process regression for function and partial differential equation approximation. Leveraging two types of observables—noise-corrupted outputs with certain inputs and those with prior-distribution-defined uncertain inputs, a posterior distribution of uncertain inputs is estimated via Bayesian inference. Thereafter, such quantified uncertainties of inputs are incorporated into Gaussian process predictions by means of marginalization. The setting of two types of data aligns with common scenarios of constructing surrogate models for the solutions of partial differential equations, where the data of boundary conditions and initial conditions are typically known while the data of solution may involve uncertainties due to the measurement or stochasticity. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through several numerical examples including multiple one-dimensional functions, the heat equation and Allen–Cahn equation. A consistently good performance of generalization is observed, and a substantial reduction in the predictive uncertainties is achieved by the Bayesian inference of uncertain inputs.</p>}},
  author       = {{Ye, Dongwei and Yan, Weihao and Brune, Christoph and Guo, Mengwu}},
  issn         = {{2213-7467}},
  keywords     = {{Data-driven modeling; Gaussian process; Machine learning; Partial differential equation; Uncertain input}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Springer}},
  series       = {{Advanced Modeling and Simulation in Engineering Sciences}},
  title        = {{PDE-constrained Gaussian process surrogate modeling with uncertain data locations}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40323-025-00308-3}},
  doi          = {{10.1186/s40323-025-00308-3}},
  volume       = {{12}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}