Experience with a System Dynamics model in a prospective study on the future impact of ICT on environmental sustainability
(2006) 3rd Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society: Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software, iEMSs 2006- Abstract
To assess the potential impact of ICT on environmental sustainability in the European Union within a time horizon until 2020, we developed a System Dynamics model. In our contribution we make a critical, retrospective evaluation of the model with regard to the requirements and expectations of the project commissioners and of experts involved in the modeling and simulation process. The issues addressed are problem adequacy, validity, transparency, communicability and receptivity of the model. We conclude that modeling approaches that better support a modular model design than System Dynamics does would lead to better results regarding these requirements, and that a modeling language based on a more domain-specific ontology than System... (More)
To assess the potential impact of ICT on environmental sustainability in the European Union within a time horizon until 2020, we developed a System Dynamics model. In our contribution we make a critical, retrospective evaluation of the model with regard to the requirements and expectations of the project commissioners and of experts involved in the modeling and simulation process. The issues addressed are problem adequacy, validity, transparency, communicability and receptivity of the model. We conclude that modeling approaches that better support a modular model design than System Dynamics does would lead to better results regarding these requirements, and that a modeling language based on a more domain-specific ontology than System Dynamics would be needed to create models that are communicable and have an adequate epistemic connectivity to the scientific and political discourse.
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- author
- Wäger, Patrick A. ; Hilty, Lorenz M. ; Arnfalk, Peter LU ; Erdmann, Lorenz and Goodman, James
- organization
- publishing date
- 2006-12-01
- type
- Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Environmental modeling, Information and communication technologies, Prospective studies, Socio-economic modeling, Sustainable development, System Dynamics
- host publication
- Proceedings of the iEMSs 3rd Biennial Meeting,Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software
- conference name
- 3rd Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society: Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software, iEMSs 2006
- conference location
- Burlington, VT, United States
- conference dates
- 2006-07-09 - 2006-07-13
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:84858684456
- ISBN
- 1424308526
- 9781424308521
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 06ac5eb9-681d-487b-b59c-f7f7306d9162
- date added to LUP
- 2018-08-15 15:04:59
- date last changed
- 2022-01-31 04:49:01
@inproceedings{06ac5eb9-681d-487b-b59c-f7f7306d9162,
abstract = {{<p>To assess the potential impact of ICT on environmental sustainability in the European Union within a time horizon until 2020, we developed a System Dynamics model. In our contribution we make a critical, retrospective evaluation of the model with regard to the requirements and expectations of the project commissioners and of experts involved in the modeling and simulation process. The issues addressed are problem adequacy, validity, transparency, communicability and receptivity of the model. We conclude that modeling approaches that better support a modular model design than System Dynamics does would lead to better results regarding these requirements, and that a modeling language based on a more domain-specific ontology than System Dynamics would be needed to create models that are communicable and have an adequate epistemic connectivity to the scientific and political discourse.</p>}},
author = {{Wäger, Patrick A. and Hilty, Lorenz M. and Arnfalk, Peter and Erdmann, Lorenz and Goodman, James}},
booktitle = {{Proceedings of the iEMSs 3rd Biennial Meeting,Summit on Environmental Modelling and Software}},
isbn = {{1424308526}},
keywords = {{Environmental modeling; Information and communication technologies; Prospective studies; Socio-economic modeling; Sustainable development; System Dynamics}},
language = {{eng}},
month = {{12}},
title = {{Experience with a System Dynamics model in a prospective study on the future impact of ICT on environmental sustainability}},
year = {{2006}},
}