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War, Performance, and the Survival of Foreign Ministers

Bäck, Hanna LU orcid ; Teorell, Jan LU orcid ; Von Hagen-Jamar, Alexander LU and Quiroz Flores, Alejandro (2021) In Foreign Policy Analysis 17(2).
Abstract

Why do some foreign ministers stay longer in office than others? Are they punished when the country loses a war? Several scholars have focused on the tenure of leaders as an important predictor of foreign policy outcomes, such as war onset, creating an interest in leadership survival. We here shift the focus to the survival of other important politicians in cabinet-foreign ministers, hypothesizing that their tenure depends on their performance in office. For example, we expect that foreign ministers stay longer in office when the country experiences an armed conflict resulting in a win or in a compromise agreement. We evaluate and find support for several of our hypotheses using an original historical dataset, which comprises all... (More)

Why do some foreign ministers stay longer in office than others? Are they punished when the country loses a war? Several scholars have focused on the tenure of leaders as an important predictor of foreign policy outcomes, such as war onset, creating an interest in leadership survival. We here shift the focus to the survival of other important politicians in cabinet-foreign ministers, hypothesizing that their tenure depends on their performance in office. For example, we expect that foreign ministers stay longer in office when the country experiences an armed conflict resulting in a win or in a compromise agreement. We evaluate and find support for several of our hypotheses using an original historical dataset, which comprises all foreign ministers of the world's thirteen great powers from the early modern period to the present, covering about 1,100 foreign minister-terms of office.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Foreign Policy Analysis
volume
17
issue
2
article number
oraa024
publisher
International Studies Association
external identifiers
  • scopus:85100976021
ISSN
1743-8586
DOI
10.1093/fpa/oraa024
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
09295149-7bd7-44db-ac1d-619362072125
date added to LUP
2021-03-01 09:03:37
date last changed
2025-04-04 13:57:00
@article{09295149-7bd7-44db-ac1d-619362072125,
  abstract     = {{<p>Why do some foreign ministers stay longer in office than others? Are they punished when the country loses a war? Several scholars have focused on the tenure of leaders as an important predictor of foreign policy outcomes, such as war onset, creating an interest in leadership survival. We here shift the focus to the survival of other important politicians in cabinet-foreign ministers, hypothesizing that their tenure depends on their performance in office. For example, we expect that foreign ministers stay longer in office when the country experiences an armed conflict resulting in a win or in a compromise agreement. We evaluate and find support for several of our hypotheses using an original historical dataset, which comprises all foreign ministers of the world's thirteen great powers from the early modern period to the present, covering about 1,100 foreign minister-terms of office. </p>}},
  author       = {{Bäck, Hanna and Teorell, Jan and Von Hagen-Jamar, Alexander and Quiroz Flores, Alejandro}},
  issn         = {{1743-8586}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{2}},
  publisher    = {{International Studies Association}},
  series       = {{Foreign Policy Analysis}},
  title        = {{War, Performance, and the Survival of Foreign Ministers}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/fpa/oraa024}},
  doi          = {{10.1093/fpa/oraa024}},
  volume       = {{17}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}