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Change Points Detected in Decadal and Seasonal Trends of Outlet Glacier Terminus Positions across West Greenland

York, Ashley V. ; Frey, Karen E. ; Jamali, Sadegh LU orcid and Das, Sarah B. (2020) In Remote Sensing 12(21).
Abstract
We investigated the change in terminus position between 1985 and 2015 of 17 marine-terminating glaciers that drain into Disko and Uummannaq Bays, West Greenland, by manually digitizing over 5000 individual frontal positions from over 1200 Landsat images. We find that 15 of 17 glacier termini retreated over the study period, with ~80% of this retreat occurring since 2000. Increased frequency of Landsat observations since 2000 allowed for further investigation of the seasonal variability in terminus position. We identified 10 actively retreating glaciers based on a significant positive relationship between glaciers with cumulative retreat >300 m since 2000 and their average annual amplitude (seasonal range) in terminus position. Finally,... (More)
We investigated the change in terminus position between 1985 and 2015 of 17 marine-terminating glaciers that drain into Disko and Uummannaq Bays, West Greenland, by manually digitizing over 5000 individual frontal positions from over 1200 Landsat images. We find that 15 of 17 glacier termini retreated over the study period, with ~80% of this retreat occurring since 2000. Increased frequency of Landsat observations since 2000 allowed for further investigation of the seasonal variability in terminus position. We identified 10 actively retreating glaciers based on a significant positive relationship between glaciers with cumulative retreat >300 m since 2000 and their average annual amplitude (seasonal range) in terminus position. Finally, using the Detecting Breakpoints and Estimating Segments in Trend (DBEST) program, we investigated whether the 2000–2015 trends in terminus position were explained by the occurrence of change points (significant trend transitions). Based on the change point analysis, we found that nine of 10 glaciers identified as actively retreating also underwent two or three periods of change, during which their terminus positions were characterized by increases in cumulative retreat. Previous literature suggests potential relationships between our identified change dates with anomalous ocean conditions, such as low sea ice concentration and high sea surface temperatures, and our change durations with individual fjord geometry. (Less)
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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
marine-terminating glacier, Landsat, change point detection, DBEST
in
Remote Sensing
volume
12
issue
21
article number
3651
pages
25 pages
publisher
MDPI AG
external identifiers
  • scopus:85096039566
ISSN
2072-4292
DOI
10.3390/rs12213651
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
55a8f877-948e-461f-825f-56f63ac74276
date added to LUP
2020-11-10 15:08:48
date last changed
2022-04-19 01:58:19
@article{55a8f877-948e-461f-825f-56f63ac74276,
  abstract     = {{We investigated the change in terminus position between 1985 and 2015 of 17 marine-terminating glaciers that drain into Disko and Uummannaq Bays, West Greenland, by manually digitizing over 5000 individual frontal positions from over 1200 Landsat images. We find that 15 of 17 glacier termini retreated over the study period, with ~80% of this retreat occurring since 2000. Increased frequency of Landsat observations since 2000 allowed for further investigation of the seasonal variability in terminus position. We identified 10 actively retreating glaciers based on a significant positive relationship between glaciers with cumulative retreat >300 m since 2000 and their average annual amplitude (seasonal range) in terminus position. Finally, using the Detecting Breakpoints and Estimating Segments in Trend (DBEST) program, we investigated whether the 2000–2015 trends in terminus position were explained by the occurrence of change points (significant trend transitions). Based on the change point analysis, we found that nine of 10 glaciers identified as actively retreating also underwent two or three periods of change, during which their terminus positions were characterized by increases in cumulative retreat. Previous literature suggests potential relationships between our identified change dates with anomalous ocean conditions, such as low sea ice concentration and high sea surface temperatures, and our change durations with individual fjord geometry.}},
  author       = {{York, Ashley V. and Frey, Karen E. and Jamali, Sadegh and Das, Sarah B.}},
  issn         = {{2072-4292}},
  keywords     = {{marine-terminating glacier; Landsat; change point detection; DBEST}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{11}},
  number       = {{21}},
  publisher    = {{MDPI AG}},
  series       = {{Remote Sensing}},
  title        = {{Change Points Detected in Decadal and Seasonal Trends of Outlet Glacier Terminus Positions across West Greenland}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs12213651}},
  doi          = {{10.3390/rs12213651}},
  volume       = {{12}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}