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Evolutionary unpredictability in cancer model systems

Chattopadhyay, Subhayan LU orcid ; Karlsson, Jenny LU ; Ferro, Michele LU ; Mañas, Adriana LU ; Kanzaki, Ryu LU orcid ; Fredlund, Elina LU ; Murphy, Andrew J. ; L. Morton, Christopher ; Andersson, Natalie LU orcid and A. Woolard, Mary , et al. (2025) In Scientific Reports 15(20334).
Abstract
Despite the advent of advanced molecular prognostic tools, it is still difficult to predict the course of disease for cancer patients at the individual level. This lack of predictability is also reflected in many experimental cancer model systems, begging the question of whether certain biological aspects of cancer (eg. growth, evolution etc.) can ever be anticipated or if there remains an inherent unpredictability to cancer, similar to other complex biological systems. We demonstrate by a combination of agent-based mathematical modelling, analysis of patient-derived xenograft model systems from multiple cancer types, and in-vitro culture that certain conditions increase stochasticity of the clonal landscape of cancer growth. Our findings... (More)
Despite the advent of advanced molecular prognostic tools, it is still difficult to predict the course of disease for cancer patients at the individual level. This lack of predictability is also reflected in many experimental cancer model systems, begging the question of whether certain biological aspects of cancer (eg. growth, evolution etc.) can ever be anticipated or if there remains an inherent unpredictability to cancer, similar to other complex biological systems. We demonstrate by a combination of agent-based mathematical modelling, analysis of patient-derived xenograft model systems from multiple cancer types, and in-vitro culture that certain conditions increase stochasticity of the clonal landscape of cancer growth. Our findings indicate that under those conditions, the cancer genome may behave as a complex dynamic system, making its long-term evolution inherently unpredictable. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
@article{cf4e51ef-85a8-4acc-8e53-a28a11c57272,
  abstract     = {{Despite the advent of advanced molecular prognostic tools, it is still difficult to predict the course of disease for cancer patients at the individual level. This lack of predictability is also reflected in many experimental cancer model systems, begging the question of whether certain biological aspects of cancer (eg. growth, evolution etc.) can ever be anticipated or if there remains an inherent unpredictability to cancer, similar to other complex biological systems. We demonstrate by a combination of agent-based mathematical modelling, analysis of patient-derived xenograft model systems from multiple cancer types, and in-vitro culture that certain conditions increase stochasticity of the clonal landscape of cancer growth. Our findings indicate that under those conditions, the cancer genome may behave as a complex dynamic system, making its long-term evolution inherently unpredictable.}},
  author       = {{Chattopadhyay, Subhayan and Karlsson, Jenny and Ferro, Michele and Mañas, Adriana and Kanzaki, Ryu and Fredlund, Elina and Murphy, Andrew J. and L. Morton, Christopher and Andersson, Natalie and A. Woolard, Mary and Hansson, Karin and Radke, Katarzyna and M. Davidoff, Andrew and Mohlin, Sofie and Pietras, Kristian and Bexell, Daniel and Gisselsson Nord, David}},
  issn         = {{2045-2322}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{06}},
  number       = {{20334}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Scientific Reports}},
  title        = {{Evolutionary unpredictability in cancer model systems}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-07407-6}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41598-025-07407-6}},
  volume       = {{15}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}