Skip to main content

Lund University Publications

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Predicting sensitivity and resilience to modifiable risk factors for cardiometabolic morbidity and mortality

Pomares-Millan, Hugo LU orcid ; Atabaki Pasdar, Naemieh LU orcid ; Johansson, Ingegerd ; Poveda, Alaitz LU orcid and Franks, Paul W. LU (2021) p.1-28
Abstract
Background Lifestyle exposures play a major role in the development of disease, yet people vary in their susceptibility. A critical step towards precision medicine is identifying individuals who are resilient or sensitive to the environment, and, assess whether the allocation to these predicted groups are more or less likely to develop cardiometabolic disease.

Methods We have used repeated data from the VHU study (n=35440) to identify sensitive and resilient individuals using prediction intervals at the 5th and 95th quantile. Three exposure susceptibility groups were derived per cardiometabolic score using quantile regression forests in the training dataset; next, in the validation dataset, we assessed the different risks of the... (More)
Background Lifestyle exposures play a major role in the development of disease, yet people vary in their susceptibility. A critical step towards precision medicine is identifying individuals who are resilient or sensitive to the environment, and, assess whether the allocation to these predicted groups are more or less likely to develop cardiometabolic disease.

Methods We have used repeated data from the VHU study (n=35440) to identify sensitive and resilient individuals using prediction intervals at the 5th and 95th quantile. Three exposure susceptibility groups were derived per cardiometabolic score using quantile regression forests in the training dataset; next, in the validation dataset, we assessed the different risks of the groups using Cox proportional hazard models for CVD and diabetes.

Results The results of our study suggest that, after ∼10 y of follow-up, individuals with sensitivity to the environmental exposures associated with systolic and diastolic blood pressure, blood lipids, and glucose were at higher risk of developing cardiometabolic disease. Moreover, when hazards were pooled with the replication cohort, for those individuals sensitive to the exposures associated with blood pressure traits, the hazards remained significant.

Conclusions Identifying individuals who are predicted to be sensitive are at higher risk of developing disease, this population may be a clinical target for prevention or early intervention and public health strategies. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Working paper/Preprint
publication status
published
subject
pages
1 - 28
publisher
medRxiv
DOI
10.1101/2021.10.14.21264994
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
f3655b75-7431-4063-befc-21a737a49404
date added to LUP
2022-01-26 18:22:06
date last changed
2022-06-29 13:59:42
@misc{f3655b75-7431-4063-befc-21a737a49404,
  abstract     = {{Background Lifestyle exposures play a major role in the development of disease, yet people vary in their susceptibility. A critical step towards precision medicine is identifying individuals who are resilient or sensitive to the environment, and, assess whether the allocation to these predicted groups are more or less likely to develop cardiometabolic disease.<br/><br/>Methods We have used repeated data from the VHU study (n=35440) to identify sensitive and resilient individuals using prediction intervals at the 5th and 95th quantile. Three exposure susceptibility groups were derived per cardiometabolic score using quantile regression forests in the training dataset; next, in the validation dataset, we assessed the different risks of the groups using Cox proportional hazard models for CVD and diabetes.<br/><br/>Results The results of our study suggest that, after ∼10 y of follow-up, individuals with sensitivity to the environmental exposures associated with systolic and diastolic blood pressure, blood lipids, and glucose were at higher risk of developing cardiometabolic disease. Moreover, when hazards were pooled with the replication cohort, for those individuals sensitive to the exposures associated with blood pressure traits, the hazards remained significant.<br/><br/>Conclusions Identifying individuals who are predicted to be sensitive are at higher risk of developing disease, this population may be a clinical target for prevention or early intervention and public health strategies.}},
  author       = {{Pomares-Millan, Hugo and Atabaki Pasdar, Naemieh and Johansson, Ingegerd and Poveda, Alaitz and Franks, Paul W.}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Preprint}},
  pages        = {{1--28}},
  publisher    = {{medRxiv}},
  title        = {{Predicting sensitivity and resilience to modifiable risk factors for cardiometabolic morbidity and mortality}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2021.10.14.21264994}},
  doi          = {{10.1101/2021.10.14.21264994}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}