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A Statistical Framework for Assessing the Relationship between Biomarkers and Clinical Endpoints in Alzheimer’s Disease

Chen, Tianle ; Hutchison, R. M. ; Rubel, C. ; Murphy, J. ; Xie, J. ; Montenigro, P. ; Cheng, W. ; Fraser, K. ; Dent, G. and Hendrix, S. , et al. (2024) In Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease 11(5). p.1228-1240
Abstract

Changes in biomarker levels of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) reflect underlying pathophysiological changes in the brain and can provide evidence of direct and downstream treatment effects linked to disease modification. Recent results from clinical trials of anti–amyloid β (Aβ) treatments have raised the question of how to best characterize the relationship between AD biomarkers and clinical endpoints. Consensus methodology for assessing such relationships is lacking, leading to inconsistent evaluation and reporting. In this review, we provide a statistical framework for reporting treatment effects on early and late accelerating AD biomarkers and assessing their relationship with clinical endpoints at the subject and group levels. Amyloid... (More)

Changes in biomarker levels of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) reflect underlying pathophysiological changes in the brain and can provide evidence of direct and downstream treatment effects linked to disease modification. Recent results from clinical trials of anti–amyloid β (Aβ) treatments have raised the question of how to best characterize the relationship between AD biomarkers and clinical endpoints. Consensus methodology for assessing such relationships is lacking, leading to inconsistent evaluation and reporting. In this review, we provide a statistical framework for reporting treatment effects on early and late accelerating AD biomarkers and assessing their relationship with clinical endpoints at the subject and group levels. Amyloid positron emission tomography (PET), plasma p-tau, and tau PET follow specific trajectories during AD and are used as exemplar cases to contrast biomarkers with early and late progression. Subject-level correlation was assessed using change from baseline in biomarkers versus change from baseline in clinical endpoints, and interpretation of the correlation is dependent on the biomarker and disease stage. Group-level correlation was assessed using the placebo-adjusted treatment effects on biomarkers versus those on clinical endpoints in each trial. This correlation leverages the fundamental advantages of randomized placebo-controlled trials and assesses the predictivity of a treatment effect on a biomarker or clinical benefit. Harmonization in the assessment of treatment effects on biomarkers and their relationship to clinical endpoints will provide a wealth of comparable data across clinical trials and may yield new insights for the treatment of AD.

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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Alzheimer’s disease, biomarkers, plasma p-tau, positron emission tomography, statistics
in
Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease
volume
11
issue
5
pages
13 pages
publisher
Elsevier Masson SAS
external identifiers
  • scopus:85197268735
  • pmid:39350368
ISSN
2274-5807
DOI
10.14283/jpad.2024.126
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
f8f0bedd-55a8-4fd6-b3c3-0f3beae9110a
date added to LUP
2024-12-02 11:34:39
date last changed
2025-07-15 05:36:09
@article{f8f0bedd-55a8-4fd6-b3c3-0f3beae9110a,
  abstract     = {{<p>Changes in biomarker levels of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) reflect underlying pathophysiological changes in the brain and can provide evidence of direct and downstream treatment effects linked to disease modification. Recent results from clinical trials of anti–amyloid β (Aβ) treatments have raised the question of how to best characterize the relationship between AD biomarkers and clinical endpoints. Consensus methodology for assessing such relationships is lacking, leading to inconsistent evaluation and reporting. In this review, we provide a statistical framework for reporting treatment effects on early and late accelerating AD biomarkers and assessing their relationship with clinical endpoints at the subject and group levels. Amyloid positron emission tomography (PET), plasma p-tau, and tau PET follow specific trajectories during AD and are used as exemplar cases to contrast biomarkers with early and late progression. Subject-level correlation was assessed using change from baseline in biomarkers versus change from baseline in clinical endpoints, and interpretation of the correlation is dependent on the biomarker and disease stage. Group-level correlation was assessed using the placebo-adjusted treatment effects on biomarkers versus those on clinical endpoints in each trial. This correlation leverages the fundamental advantages of randomized placebo-controlled trials and assesses the predictivity of a treatment effect on a biomarker or clinical benefit. Harmonization in the assessment of treatment effects on biomarkers and their relationship to clinical endpoints will provide a wealth of comparable data across clinical trials and may yield new insights for the treatment of AD.</p>}},
  author       = {{Chen, Tianle and Hutchison, R. M. and Rubel, C. and Murphy, J. and Xie, J. and Montenigro, P. and Cheng, W. and Fraser, K. and Dent, G. and Hendrix, S. and Hansson, O. and Aisen, P. and Tian, Y. and O’Gorman, J.}},
  issn         = {{2274-5807}},
  keywords     = {{Alzheimer’s disease; biomarkers; plasma p-tau; positron emission tomography; statistics}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{1228--1240}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier Masson SAS}},
  series       = {{Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease}},
  title        = {{A Statistical Framework for Assessing the Relationship between Biomarkers and Clinical Endpoints in Alzheimer’s Disease}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.14283/jpad.2024.126}},
  doi          = {{10.14283/jpad.2024.126}},
  volume       = {{11}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}