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Effectiveness of water-related adaptation decreases with increasing warming

Lissner, Tabea K. ; Möller, Tessa ; Caretta, Martina Angela LU orcid and Mukherji, Aditi (2024) In One Earth 7(3). p.444-454
Abstract

Adaptation is central to address climate impacts. At present, we have a limited understanding of the effectiveness of adaptation to reduce risks in a warming world, because adaptation remains insufficiently addressed in climate impact projections. Where projections exist, these are assessed mostly in case study settings. The importance of water is apparent within the field of climate adaptation, with the majority of documented and projected adaptation related to water. Based on a meta-review of projections of adaptation, we assess the ability of different modeled water-related adaptation options to reduce climate risk at 1.5°C, 2°C, 3°C, and 4°C of warming and show that the effectiveness of the assessed options decreases with increasing... (More)

Adaptation is central to address climate impacts. At present, we have a limited understanding of the effectiveness of adaptation to reduce risks in a warming world, because adaptation remains insufficiently addressed in climate impact projections. Where projections exist, these are assessed mostly in case study settings. The importance of water is apparent within the field of climate adaptation, with the majority of documented and projected adaptation related to water. Based on a meta-review of projections of adaptation, we assess the ability of different modeled water-related adaptation options to reduce climate risk at 1.5°C, 2°C, 3°C, and 4°C of warming and show that the effectiveness of the assessed options decreases with increasing warming across all world regions and options. Although adaptation benefits can be achieved for many regions, increasing maladaptive outcomes are projected at higher levels of warming. Our analysis highlights the urgent need to limit global warming by drastically reducing emissions to avoid catastrophic impacts.

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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
One Earth
volume
7
issue
3
pages
11 pages
publisher
Cell Press
external identifiers
  • scopus:85187565794
ISSN
2590-3330
DOI
10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.004
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
05638bd1-3329-4e04-9fb8-67943e6753a5
date added to LUP
2024-04-03 09:56:05
date last changed
2024-04-03 09:57:02
@article{05638bd1-3329-4e04-9fb8-67943e6753a5,
  abstract     = {{<p>Adaptation is central to address climate impacts. At present, we have a limited understanding of the effectiveness of adaptation to reduce risks in a warming world, because adaptation remains insufficiently addressed in climate impact projections. Where projections exist, these are assessed mostly in case study settings. The importance of water is apparent within the field of climate adaptation, with the majority of documented and projected adaptation related to water. Based on a meta-review of projections of adaptation, we assess the ability of different modeled water-related adaptation options to reduce climate risk at 1.5°C, 2°C, 3°C, and 4°C of warming and show that the effectiveness of the assessed options decreases with increasing warming across all world regions and options. Although adaptation benefits can be achieved for many regions, increasing maladaptive outcomes are projected at higher levels of warming. Our analysis highlights the urgent need to limit global warming by drastically reducing emissions to avoid catastrophic impacts.</p>}},
  author       = {{Lissner, Tabea K. and Möller, Tessa and Caretta, Martina Angela and Mukherji, Aditi}},
  issn         = {{2590-3330}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{03}},
  number       = {{3}},
  pages        = {{444--454}},
  publisher    = {{Cell Press}},
  series       = {{One Earth}},
  title        = {{Effectiveness of water-related adaptation decreases with increasing warming}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.004}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.oneear.2024.02.004}},
  volume       = {{7}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}