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Changes in Nighttime Sleep Duration and Their Association With Cognitive Decline and Dementia Risk

Overton, Marieclaire LU ; Elmståhl, Sölve LU and Basna, Rani LU orcid (2026) In Journal of Sleep Research p.1-12
Abstract

This study investigates changes in nighttime sleep duration in relation to cognitive decline and risk of incident dementia. A total of 3057 participants from the Swedish population study ‘Good Aging in Skåne’ (Mage = 68.4) with normal baseline sleep duration (6–8 h) were followed up to 20 years (Myears = 8.39). Self-reported change was defined as shortened or prolonged if participants lost or gained more than 1 h since their previous visit and sleep variability was defined as the SD of sleep duration across visits. Cognitive decline was assessed using an aggregated measure of global cognition. Linear mixed effects models examined the rate of decline across sleep change groups, adjusting for health-related factors,... (More)

This study investigates changes in nighttime sleep duration in relation to cognitive decline and risk of incident dementia. A total of 3057 participants from the Swedish population study ‘Good Aging in Skåne’ (Mage = 68.4) with normal baseline sleep duration (6–8 h) were followed up to 20 years (Myears = 8.39). Self-reported change was defined as shortened or prolonged if participants lost or gained more than 1 h since their previous visit and sleep variability was defined as the SD of sleep duration across visits. Cognitive decline was assessed using an aggregated measure of global cognition. Linear mixed effects models examined the rate of decline across sleep change groups, adjusting for health-related factors, including time spent in bed without sleeping. Cox proportional hazard models estimated dementia risk. Longitudinal patterns of prolonged sleep (> 1 h increase) were associated with significant cognitive decline in fully adjusted models. Greater sleep variability was also associated with steeper cognitive decline. There was a 131% increased risk of dementia (HR = 2.31, 95% CI: I 1.77–3.03; p < 0.001) for prolonged sleep in comparison to stable sleep. Higher sleep variability was also associated with increased dementia risk (HR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.70–1.89; p < 0.001). Shortened sleep was not found to be significantly associated with cognitive decline or dementia risk. These findings indicate that changes in sleep duration, particularly prolonged sleep and high variability, are associated with faster cognitive decline and incident dementia, and may serve as markers of future cognitive impairment.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
epub
subject
keywords
cognitive decline, dementia, prolonged sleep, sleep duration changes, time in bed
in
Journal of Sleep Research
article number
e70414
pages
1 - 12
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • scopus:105046066364
  • pmid:42522237
ISSN
0962-1105
DOI
10.1111/jsr.70414
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2026 The Author(s). Journal of Sleep Research published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of European Sleep Research Society.
id
134fba24-bba8-475e-ae1d-96af540f3127
date added to LUP
2026-08-20 08:59:55
date last changed
2026-09-17 10:44:40
@article{134fba24-bba8-475e-ae1d-96af540f3127,
  abstract     = {{<p>This study investigates changes in nighttime sleep duration in relation to cognitive decline and risk of incident dementia. A total of 3057 participants from the Swedish population study ‘Good Aging in Skåne’ (M<sub>age</sub> = 68.4) with normal baseline sleep duration (6–8 h) were followed up to 20 years (M<sub>years</sub> = 8.39). Self-reported change was defined as shortened or prolonged if participants lost or gained more than 1 h since their previous visit and sleep variability was defined as the SD of sleep duration across visits. Cognitive decline was assessed using an aggregated measure of global cognition. Linear mixed effects models examined the rate of decline across sleep change groups, adjusting for health-related factors, including time spent in bed without sleeping. Cox proportional hazard models estimated dementia risk. Longitudinal patterns of prolonged sleep (&gt; 1 h increase) were associated with significant cognitive decline in fully adjusted models. Greater sleep variability was also associated with steeper cognitive decline. There was a 131% increased risk of dementia (HR = 2.31, 95% CI: I 1.77–3.03; p &lt; 0.001) for prolonged sleep in comparison to stable sleep. Higher sleep variability was also associated with increased dementia risk (HR = 1.49, 95% CI: 1.70–1.89; p &lt; 0.001). Shortened sleep was not found to be significantly associated with cognitive decline or dementia risk. These findings indicate that changes in sleep duration, particularly prolonged sleep and high variability, are associated with faster cognitive decline and incident dementia, and may serve as markers of future cognitive impairment.</p>}},
  author       = {{Overton, Marieclaire and Elmståhl, Sölve and Basna, Rani}},
  issn         = {{0962-1105}},
  keywords     = {{cognitive decline; dementia; prolonged sleep; sleep duration changes; time in bed}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{1--12}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{Journal of Sleep Research}},
  title        = {{Changes in Nighttime Sleep Duration and Their Association With Cognitive Decline and Dementia Risk}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jsr.70414}},
  doi          = {{10.1111/jsr.70414}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}