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Protect young secondary forests for optimum carbon removal

Robinson, Nathaniel ; Drever, C. Ronnie ; Gibbs, David A. ; Lister, Kristine ; Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane ; Heinrich, Viola ; Ciais, Philippe ; Silva-Junior, Celso H.L. ; Liu, Zhihua and Pugh, Thomas A.M. LU , et al. (2025) In Nature Climate Change 15. p.793-800
Abstract

Avoiding severe global warming requires large-scale removals of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Forest regeneration offers cost-effective carbon removals, but annual rates vary substantially by location and forest age. Here we generate grid-level (~1-km2) growth curves for aboveground live carbon in naturally regrowing forests by combining 109,708 field estimates with 66 environmental covariates. Across the globe and the first 100 years of growth, maximum carbon removal rates varied 200-fold, with the greatest rates estimated in ~20- to 40-year-old forests. Despite a focus on new forests for natural climate solutions, protecting existing young secondary forests can provide up to 8-fold more carbon removal per hectare than new... (More)

Avoiding severe global warming requires large-scale removals of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Forest regeneration offers cost-effective carbon removals, but annual rates vary substantially by location and forest age. Here we generate grid-level (~1-km2) growth curves for aboveground live carbon in naturally regrowing forests by combining 109,708 field estimates with 66 environmental covariates. Across the globe and the first 100 years of growth, maximum carbon removal rates varied 200-fold, with the greatest rates estimated in ~20- to 40-year-old forests. Despite a focus on new forests for natural climate solutions, protecting existing young secondary forests can provide up to 8-fold more carbon removal per hectare than new regrowth. These maps could help to target the optimal ages and locations where a key carbon removal strategy could be applied, and improve estimates of how secondary forests contribute to global carbon cycling.

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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Nature Climate Change
volume
15
pages
793 - 800
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • scopus:105008921121
ISSN
1758-678X
DOI
10.1038/s41558-025-02355-5
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s) 2025.
id
16f7e370-e509-447e-a5a6-874da9795476
date added to LUP
2025-07-14 09:45:14
date last changed
2025-08-12 13:19:41
@article{16f7e370-e509-447e-a5a6-874da9795476,
  abstract     = {{<p>Avoiding severe global warming requires large-scale removals of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Forest regeneration offers cost-effective carbon removals, but annual rates vary substantially by location and forest age. Here we generate grid-level (~1-km<sup>2</sup>) growth curves for aboveground live carbon in naturally regrowing forests by combining 109,708 field estimates with 66 environmental covariates. Across the globe and the first 100 years of growth, maximum carbon removal rates varied 200-fold, with the greatest rates estimated in ~20- to 40-year-old forests. Despite a focus on new forests for natural climate solutions, protecting existing young secondary forests can provide up to 8-fold more carbon removal per hectare than new regrowth. These maps could help to target the optimal ages and locations where a key carbon removal strategy could be applied, and improve estimates of how secondary forests contribute to global carbon cycling.</p>}},
  author       = {{Robinson, Nathaniel and Drever, C. Ronnie and Gibbs, David A. and Lister, Kristine and Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane and Heinrich, Viola and Ciais, Philippe and Silva-Junior, Celso H.L. and Liu, Zhihua and Pugh, Thomas A.M. and Saatchi, Sassan and Xu, Yidi and Cook-Patton, Susan C.}},
  issn         = {{1758-678X}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{793--800}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Nature Climate Change}},
  title        = {{Protect young secondary forests for optimum carbon removal}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02355-5}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41558-025-02355-5}},
  volume       = {{15}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}