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Lung function, forced expiratory volume in 1 s decline and COPD hospitalisations over 44 years of follow-up.

Zaigham, Suneela LU ; Wollmer, Per LU and Engström, Gunnar LU (2016) In European Respiratory Journal 47(3). p.742-750
Abstract
The use of baseline lung function in the prediction of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) hospitalisations, all-cause mortality and lung function decline was assessed in the population-based "Men Born in 1914" cohort.Spirometry was assessed at age 55 years in 689 subjects, of whom 392 had spirometry reassessed at age 68 years. The cohort was divided into three groups using fixed ratio (FR) and lower limit of normal (LLN) criterion: forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/vital capacity (VC) ≥70%, FEV1/VC <70% but ≥LLN (FR(+)LLN(-)), and FEV1/VC <70% and <LLN (FR(+)LLN(+)).Over 44 years of follow-up, 88 men were hospitalised due to COPD and 686 died. Hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident COPD hospitalisation were 4.15... (More)
The use of baseline lung function in the prediction of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) hospitalisations, all-cause mortality and lung function decline was assessed in the population-based "Men Born in 1914" cohort.Spirometry was assessed at age 55 years in 689 subjects, of whom 392 had spirometry reassessed at age 68 years. The cohort was divided into three groups using fixed ratio (FR) and lower limit of normal (LLN) criterion: forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/vital capacity (VC) ≥70%, FEV1/VC <70% but ≥LLN (FR(+)LLN(-)), and FEV1/VC <70% and <LLN (FR(+)LLN(+)).Over 44 years of follow-up, 88 men were hospitalised due to COPD and 686 died. Hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident COPD hospitalisation were 4.15 (2.24-7.69) for FR(+)LLN(-) and 7.88 (4.82-12.87) for FR(+)LLN(+) (reference FEV1/VC ≥70%). Hazard ratios for death were 1.30 (0.98-1.72) for FR(+)LLN(-) and 1.58 (1.25-2.00) for FR(+)LLN(+). The adjusted FEV1 decline between 55 and 68 years of age was higher for FR(+)LLN(-) and FR(+)LLN(+) relative to the reference. Of those with FR(+)LLN(-) at 55 years, 53% had progressed to the FR(+)LLN(+) group at 68 years.Airflow obstruction at age 55 years is a powerful risk factor for future COPD hospitalisations. The FR(+)LLN(-) group should be carefully evaluated in clinical practice in relation to future risks and potential benefit from early intervention. This is reinforced by the increased FEV1 decline in this group. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
European Respiratory Journal
volume
47
issue
3
pages
742 - 750
publisher
European Respiratory Society
external identifiers
  • pmid:26647443
  • scopus:84959908260
  • pmid:26647443
  • wos:000385950700011
ISSN
1399-3003
DOI
10.1183/13993003.01575-2015
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
170bb186-103a-4352-bb03-26dee4e8d4c6 (old id 8505338)
alternative location
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26647443?dopt=Abstract
date added to LUP
2016-04-04 08:21:01
date last changed
2023-09-05 15:02:44
@article{170bb186-103a-4352-bb03-26dee4e8d4c6,
  abstract     = {{The use of baseline lung function in the prediction of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) hospitalisations, all-cause mortality and lung function decline was assessed in the population-based "Men Born in 1914" cohort.Spirometry was assessed at age 55 years in 689 subjects, of whom 392 had spirometry reassessed at age 68 years. The cohort was divided into three groups using fixed ratio (FR) and lower limit of normal (LLN) criterion: forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/vital capacity (VC) ≥70%, FEV1/VC &lt;70% but ≥LLN (FR(+)LLN(-)), and FEV1/VC &lt;70% and &lt;LLN (FR(+)LLN(+)).Over 44 years of follow-up, 88 men were hospitalised due to COPD and 686 died. Hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident COPD hospitalisation were 4.15 (2.24-7.69) for FR(+)LLN(-) and 7.88 (4.82-12.87) for FR(+)LLN(+) (reference FEV1/VC ≥70%). Hazard ratios for death were 1.30 (0.98-1.72) for FR(+)LLN(-) and 1.58 (1.25-2.00) for FR(+)LLN(+). The adjusted FEV1 decline between 55 and 68 years of age was higher for FR(+)LLN(-) and FR(+)LLN(+) relative to the reference. Of those with FR(+)LLN(-) at 55 years, 53% had progressed to the FR(+)LLN(+) group at 68 years.Airflow obstruction at age 55 years is a powerful risk factor for future COPD hospitalisations. The FR(+)LLN(-) group should be carefully evaluated in clinical practice in relation to future risks and potential benefit from early intervention. This is reinforced by the increased FEV1 decline in this group.}},
  author       = {{Zaigham, Suneela and Wollmer, Per and Engström, Gunnar}},
  issn         = {{1399-3003}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{3}},
  pages        = {{742--750}},
  publisher    = {{European Respiratory Society}},
  series       = {{European Respiratory Journal}},
  title        = {{Lung function, forced expiratory volume in 1 s decline and COPD hospitalisations over 44 years of follow-up.}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1183/13993003.01575-2015}},
  doi          = {{10.1183/13993003.01575-2015}},
  volume       = {{47}},
  year         = {{2016}},
}