Tourism in the polycrisis : a Horizon 2050 paper
(2024) In Tourism Review- Abstract
Purpose: Tourism faces a range of interconnected and potentially transformative global risks – collectively considered an evolving polycrisis – that have not been adequately defined and understood. As a result, the industry struggles to proactively anticipate and mitigate potential future challenges, while governments lack insight for strategic longer-term decision-making on tourism development. The purpose of this paper is to advance tourism sector consideration of global change threats and their complex interactions and more effectively incorporate these risks into tourism futures planning. Design/methodology/approach: This conceptual gap is addressed through a discussion of the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports, and their... (More)
Purpose: Tourism faces a range of interconnected and potentially transformative global risks – collectively considered an evolving polycrisis – that have not been adequately defined and understood. As a result, the industry struggles to proactively anticipate and mitigate potential future challenges, while governments lack insight for strategic longer-term decision-making on tourism development. The purpose of this paper is to advance tourism sector consideration of global change threats and their complex interactions and more effectively incorporate these risks into tourism futures planning. Design/methodology/approach: This conceptual gap is addressed through a discussion of the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports, and their definition of environmental, economic, geopolitical, societal and technological risk categories. In applying results to tourism, a preliminary expert assessment of global risks serves as a foundational framework to incorporate potential global change threats more effectively into tourism futures planning and decision-making. Findings: Additional research should be prioritized to examine global risks most influential of tourism, how and where they may interact, how to convert risk categories into measurable indicators and to evaluate whether risk assessments can contribute to mitigating the evolving polycrisis. Originality/value: This paper discusses the systematic and strategic engagement with global risks for tourism, critically reviews the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports from tourism perspective, presents key risk dimensions driving future tourism development, provides a foundational framework to further assess global risk for tourism and compels tourism academy to prioritize global change research agenda.
(Less)
- author
- Gössling, Stefan LU and Scott, Daniel
- organization
- publishing date
- 2024
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- epub
- subject
- keywords
- Global risks, Planning, Polycrisis, Resilience, Strategy, Tourism futures, Transformative change
- in
- Tourism Review
- publisher
- Emerald Group Publishing Limited
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85201934578
- ISSN
- 1660-5373
- DOI
- 10.1108/TR-06-2024-0519
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 17d6dde7-fe81-43a8-b80f-954beb92f405
- date added to LUP
- 2025-01-15 12:22:28
- date last changed
- 2025-04-04 14:57:33
@article{17d6dde7-fe81-43a8-b80f-954beb92f405,
abstract = {{<p>Purpose: Tourism faces a range of interconnected and potentially transformative global risks – collectively considered an evolving polycrisis – that have not been adequately defined and understood. As a result, the industry struggles to proactively anticipate and mitigate potential future challenges, while governments lack insight for strategic longer-term decision-making on tourism development. The purpose of this paper is to advance tourism sector consideration of global change threats and their complex interactions and more effectively incorporate these risks into tourism futures planning. Design/methodology/approach: This conceptual gap is addressed through a discussion of the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports, and their definition of environmental, economic, geopolitical, societal and technological risk categories. In applying results to tourism, a preliminary expert assessment of global risks serves as a foundational framework to incorporate potential global change threats more effectively into tourism futures planning and decision-making. Findings: Additional research should be prioritized to examine global risks most influential of tourism, how and where they may interact, how to convert risk categories into measurable indicators and to evaluate whether risk assessments can contribute to mitigating the evolving polycrisis. Originality/value: This paper discusses the systematic and strategic engagement with global risks for tourism, critically reviews the World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Reports from tourism perspective, presents key risk dimensions driving future tourism development, provides a foundational framework to further assess global risk for tourism and compels tourism academy to prioritize global change research agenda.</p>}},
author = {{Gössling, Stefan and Scott, Daniel}},
issn = {{1660-5373}},
keywords = {{Global risks; Planning; Polycrisis; Resilience; Strategy; Tourism futures; Transformative change}},
language = {{eng}},
publisher = {{Emerald Group Publishing Limited}},
series = {{Tourism Review}},
title = {{Tourism in the polycrisis : a Horizon 2050 paper}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/TR-06-2024-0519}},
doi = {{10.1108/TR-06-2024-0519}},
year = {{2024}},
}