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Optimal Trade-Off between Economic Activity and Health during an Epidemic

Andersson, Tommy LU ; Erlanson, Albin ; Spiro, Daniel and Östling, Robert (2020) In Working Papers
Abstract
This paper considers a simple model where a social planner can influence the spread-intensity of an infection wave, and, consequently, also the economic activity and population health, through a single parameter. Population health is assumed to only be negatively affected when the number of simultaneously infected exceeds health care capacity. The main finding is that if (i) the planner attaches a positive weight on economic activity and (ii) it is more harmful for the economy to be locked down for longer than shorter time periods, then the optimal policy is to (weakly) exceed health care capacity at some time.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Working paper/Preprint
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Covid-19 pandemic, SI-model, economic activity, health, optimal policy, E23, E27, E60, E65
in
Working Papers
issue
2020:8
pages
13 pages
external identifiers
  • scopus:85095005308
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
19de0677-ab72-4c4c-8789-790b459d8e05
alternative location
https://swopec.hhs.se/lunewp/abs/lunewp2020_008.htm
date added to LUP
2020-05-25 11:08:55
date last changed
2020-11-13 04:04:08
@misc{19de0677-ab72-4c4c-8789-790b459d8e05,
  abstract     = {{This paper considers a simple model where a social planner can influence the spread-intensity of an infection wave, and, consequently, also the economic activity and population health, through a single parameter. Population health is assumed to only be negatively affected when the number of simultaneously infected exceeds health care capacity. The main finding is that if (i) the planner attaches a positive weight on economic activity and (ii) it is more harmful for the economy to be locked down for longer than shorter time periods, then the optimal policy is to (weakly) exceed health care capacity at some time.}},
  author       = {{Andersson, Tommy and Erlanson, Albin and Spiro, Daniel and Östling, Robert}},
  keywords     = {{Covid-19 pandemic; SI-model; economic activity; health; optimal policy; E23; E27; E60; E65}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Working Paper}},
  number       = {{2020:8}},
  series       = {{Working Papers}},
  title        = {{Optimal Trade-Off between Economic Activity and Health during an Epidemic}},
  url          = {{https://swopec.hhs.se/lunewp/abs/lunewp2020_008.htm}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}