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A methodology for assessing wildfire hazard in Sweden – The first step towards a multi-hazard assessment method

McNamee, Margaret LU ; Pagnon Eriksson, Claude LU ; Wahlqvist, Jonathan LU and Johansson, Nils LU orcid (2022) In International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 83.
Abstract

Flooding and wildfires are two common natural hazards in Sweden to which the Fire and Rescue Services (FRS) must be prepared to respond to. In light of potential increases in these hazards, the Extreme-Index project aims to develop such a multi-hazard tool for Sweden. In this paper, a modular multi-hazard framework is presented. The first module of the multi-hazard methodology that is developed and presented relates to wildfires in Sweden. The wildfire risk assessment framework has been exemplified using a small community in Ljungby municipality in the south of Sweden. The community has been chosen as it has a significant portion of its population living in the wildland urban interface. The hazard assessment of the area builds on... (More)

Flooding and wildfires are two common natural hazards in Sweden to which the Fire and Rescue Services (FRS) must be prepared to respond to. In light of potential increases in these hazards, the Extreme-Index project aims to develop such a multi-hazard tool for Sweden. In this paper, a modular multi-hazard framework is presented. The first module of the multi-hazard methodology that is developed and presented relates to wildfires in Sweden. The wildfire risk assessment framework has been exemplified using a small community in Ljungby municipality in the south of Sweden. The community has been chosen as it has a significant portion of its population living in the wildland urban interface. The hazard assessment of the area builds on historical wildfire activity and burn probability throughout Sweden. The exposure assessment relies on the identification of fuel types that are present within different zones surrounding structures. The methodology provides a basis for the FRS to identify particularly exposed structures for further vulnerability assessment and mitigation and for the identification of the need for their own capability development in the future. Future versions of the framework will include flooding, with the two hazards being incorporated into an “Extreme-Index”.

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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Fire danger, Fire weather index (FWI), Multiple natural hazards, Risk assessment, Vulnerability, Wildfire
in
International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction
volume
83
article number
103415
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85142003434
ISSN
2212-4209
DOI
10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103415
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
21585b83-e6f4-4ecb-a5c2-9e2c625322d6
date added to LUP
2022-12-27 14:39:12
date last changed
2023-11-21 16:56:13
@article{21585b83-e6f4-4ecb-a5c2-9e2c625322d6,
  abstract     = {{<p>Flooding and wildfires are two common natural hazards in Sweden to which the Fire and Rescue Services (FRS) must be prepared to respond to. In light of potential increases in these hazards, the Extreme-Index project aims to develop such a multi-hazard tool for Sweden. In this paper, a modular multi-hazard framework is presented. The first module of the multi-hazard methodology that is developed and presented relates to wildfires in Sweden. The wildfire risk assessment framework has been exemplified using a small community in Ljungby municipality in the south of Sweden. The community has been chosen as it has a significant portion of its population living in the wildland urban interface. The hazard assessment of the area builds on historical wildfire activity and burn probability throughout Sweden. The exposure assessment relies on the identification of fuel types that are present within different zones surrounding structures. The methodology provides a basis for the FRS to identify particularly exposed structures for further vulnerability assessment and mitigation and for the identification of the need for their own capability development in the future. Future versions of the framework will include flooding, with the two hazards being incorporated into an “Extreme-Index”.</p>}},
  author       = {{McNamee, Margaret and Pagnon Eriksson, Claude and Wahlqvist, Jonathan and Johansson, Nils}},
  issn         = {{2212-4209}},
  keywords     = {{Fire danger; Fire weather index (FWI); Multiple natural hazards; Risk assessment; Vulnerability; Wildfire}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction}},
  title        = {{A methodology for assessing wildfire hazard in Sweden – The first step towards a multi-hazard assessment method}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103415}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103415}},
  volume       = {{83}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}