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Bidding behaviour in interdependent markets for electricity and green certificates

Ganhammar, Kajsa LU (2025) In Energy Economics 150.
Abstract

Market-based climate policies have received increased attention, making it important to understand how they affect competition in the electricity market. This paper focuses on the green certificate policy which financially supports producers of renewably sourced electricity by means of tradable certificates, and develops a duopoly model that incorporates both the electricity and the green certificate markets in an auction-based setting. Producers are privately informed about their generation costs, and the results suggest that whether or not they are drawn from the same distribution has important implications for market outcomes. In particular, if the subsidised technology has a higher expected marginal cost than the conventional one... (More)

Market-based climate policies have received increased attention, making it important to understand how they affect competition in the electricity market. This paper focuses on the green certificate policy which financially supports producers of renewably sourced electricity by means of tradable certificates, and develops a duopoly model that incorporates both the electricity and the green certificate markets in an auction-based setting. Producers are privately informed about their generation costs, and the results suggest that whether or not they are drawn from the same distribution has important implications for market outcomes. In particular, if the subsidised technology has a higher expected marginal cost than the conventional one (e.g., one bio-fuelled and one fossil-fuelled technology), the certificate policy can improve competition and efficiency in the electricity market. Conversely, if producers have the same expected marginal cost (e.g., one mature, non-subsidised and one emerging renewable technology), the advantage the policy creates enables the subsidised producer to bid higher at given cost as the probability of winning the electricity auction increases. This undermines competition and results in high consumer prices of electricity.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Asymmetric procurement auctions, Electricity markets, Green certificates, Renewable energy
in
Energy Economics
volume
150
article number
108849
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:105014920379
ISSN
0140-9883
DOI
10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108849
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
2d77a93d-c298-4684-9668-9d79c7a38d31
date added to LUP
2025-10-10 13:35:37
date last changed
2025-10-14 09:26:37
@article{2d77a93d-c298-4684-9668-9d79c7a38d31,
  abstract     = {{<p>Market-based climate policies have received increased attention, making it important to understand how they affect competition in the electricity market. This paper focuses on the green certificate policy which financially supports producers of renewably sourced electricity by means of tradable certificates, and develops a duopoly model that incorporates both the electricity and the green certificate markets in an auction-based setting. Producers are privately informed about their generation costs, and the results suggest that whether or not they are drawn from the same distribution has important implications for market outcomes. In particular, if the subsidised technology has a higher expected marginal cost than the conventional one (e.g., one bio-fuelled and one fossil-fuelled technology), the certificate policy can improve competition and efficiency in the electricity market. Conversely, if producers have the same expected marginal cost (e.g., one mature, non-subsidised and one emerging renewable technology), the advantage the policy creates enables the subsidised producer to bid higher at given cost as the probability of winning the electricity auction increases. This undermines competition and results in high consumer prices of electricity.</p>}},
  author       = {{Ganhammar, Kajsa}},
  issn         = {{0140-9883}},
  keywords     = {{Asymmetric procurement auctions; Electricity markets; Green certificates; Renewable energy}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Energy Economics}},
  title        = {{Bidding behaviour in interdependent markets for electricity and green certificates}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108849}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108849}},
  volume       = {{150}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}