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The Islamic Republic of Iran’s use of criminal intermediaries for extraterritorial assassinations and covert violence : a gray zone strategy of outsourced repression

Khoshnood, Ardavan M. LU orcid (2025) In Small Wars and Insurgencies p.1-29
Abstract

The Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) has employed assassinations and proxy violence as tools of statecraft. Dissidents in exile have been killed, targeted, or systematically threatened, while Israeli-linked entities across Europe have faced repeated attacks. In recent years, Tehran has increasingly outsourced these operations to state-linked criminal intermediaries. This paper analyzes Iran’s approach through the lens of Gray Zone Strategy, showing how criminal outsourcing extends Tehran’s reach, preserves deniability, and enables coercion below the threshold of open conflict. These hybrid tactics blur the boundaries between organized crime, terrorism, and state repression–posing urgent challenges for Western legal, intelligence, and... (More)

The Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) has employed assassinations and proxy violence as tools of statecraft. Dissidents in exile have been killed, targeted, or systematically threatened, while Israeli-linked entities across Europe have faced repeated attacks. In recent years, Tehran has increasingly outsourced these operations to state-linked criminal intermediaries. This paper analyzes Iran’s approach through the lens of Gray Zone Strategy, showing how criminal outsourcing extends Tehran’s reach, preserves deniability, and enables coercion below the threshold of open conflict. These hybrid tactics blur the boundaries between organized crime, terrorism, and state repression–posing urgent challenges for Western legal, intelligence, and security frameworks.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
epub
subject
keywords
assassination, counterintelligence, criminal gangs, criminal intermediaries, gray zone strategy, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, terrorism
in
Small Wars and Insurgencies
pages
1 - 29
publisher
Routledge
external identifiers
  • scopus:105015164810
ISSN
0959-2318
DOI
10.1080/09592318.2025.2555583
project
The Intelligence Apparatus of the Islamic Republic of Iran
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2025 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
id
38f3f2d2-6bab-4e10-be8c-4b7e9eea768f
date added to LUP
2025-09-14 03:58:46
date last changed
2025-10-14 08:52:52
@article{38f3f2d2-6bab-4e10-be8c-4b7e9eea768f,
  abstract     = {{<p>The Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) has employed assassinations and proxy violence as tools of statecraft. Dissidents in exile have been killed, targeted, or systematically threatened, while Israeli-linked entities across Europe have faced repeated attacks. In recent years, Tehran has increasingly outsourced these operations to state-linked criminal intermediaries. This paper analyzes Iran’s approach through the lens of Gray Zone Strategy, showing how criminal outsourcing extends Tehran’s reach, preserves deniability, and enables coercion below the threshold of open conflict. These hybrid tactics blur the boundaries between organized crime, terrorism, and state repression–posing urgent challenges for Western legal, intelligence, and security frameworks.</p>}},
  author       = {{Khoshnood, Ardavan M.}},
  issn         = {{0959-2318}},
  keywords     = {{assassination; counterintelligence; criminal gangs; criminal intermediaries; gray zone strategy; Iran; Islamic Republic of Iran; terrorism}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{1--29}},
  publisher    = {{Routledge}},
  series       = {{Small Wars and Insurgencies}},
  title        = {{The Islamic Republic of Iran’s use of criminal intermediaries for extraterritorial assassinations and covert violence : a gray zone strategy of outsourced repression}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09592318.2025.2555583}},
  doi          = {{10.1080/09592318.2025.2555583}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}