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A Matter of Time: Revisiting Growth Convergence in China

Andersson, Fredrik N G LU ; Edgerton, David LU and Opper, Sonja LU (2013) In World Development 45(May). p.239-251
Abstract
China’s unbalanced growth strategy has seemingly fostered growing inter-regional growth disparities and there is little evidence of wealth trickling down from richer provinces to poorer provinces. Standard convergence tests, however, may be ill specified to detect underlying long-term growth trends in small samples due to the pronounced and frequent inter-regional short-term fluctuations. Our paper suggests a novel approach to distinguish between these long-term growth trends and short-term fluctuations. Based on provincial data from 1978 to 2009, our results indicate that China’s provinces only diverge over the shortterm. Over the long term, provinces cluster into two converging growth clubs.
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author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
China, growth, developing countries, regional convergence
in
World Development
volume
45
issue
May
pages
239 - 251
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • wos:000317793900017
  • scopus:84875811629
ISSN
1873-5991
DOI
10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.12.013
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
40401603-c951-4e06-8e67-25e45703025f (old id 3513092)
date added to LUP
2013-02-26 09:01:28
date last changed
2019-05-21 01:31:57
@article{40401603-c951-4e06-8e67-25e45703025f,
  abstract     = {China’s unbalanced growth strategy has seemingly fostered growing inter-regional growth disparities and there is little evidence of wealth trickling down from richer provinces to poorer provinces. Standard convergence tests, however, may be ill specified to detect underlying long-term growth trends in small samples due to the pronounced and frequent inter-regional short-term fluctuations. Our paper suggests a novel approach to distinguish between these long-term growth trends and short-term fluctuations. Based on provincial data from 1978 to 2009, our results indicate that China’s provinces only diverge over the shortterm. Over the long term, provinces cluster into two converging growth clubs.},
  author       = {Andersson, Fredrik N G and Edgerton, David and Opper, Sonja},
  issn         = {1873-5991},
  keyword      = {China,growth,developing countries,regional convergence},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {May},
  pages        = {239--251},
  publisher    = {Elsevier},
  series       = {World Development},
  title        = {A Matter of Time: Revisiting Growth Convergence in China},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.12.013},
  volume       = {45},
  year         = {2013},
}