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Assessing energy security: An overview of commonly used methodologies

Månsson, André LU ; Johansson, Bengt LU and Nilsson, Lars J LU (2014) In Energy 73(14 August). p.1-14
Abstract
This paper provides an overview of methodologies used for quantitative evaluations of security of supply. The studied material is mainly based on peer-reviewed articles and the methodologies are classified according to which stage in the supply chain their main focus is directed to, as well as their scientific background. Our overview shows that a broad variety of approaches is used, but that there are still some important gaps, especially if the aim is to study energy security in a future-oriented way.



First, there is a need to better understand how sources of insecurity can develop over time and how they are affected by the development of the energy system. Second, the current tendency to study the security of supply... (More)
This paper provides an overview of methodologies used for quantitative evaluations of security of supply. The studied material is mainly based on peer-reviewed articles and the methodologies are classified according to which stage in the supply chain their main focus is directed to, as well as their scientific background. Our overview shows that a broad variety of approaches is used, but that there are still some important gaps, especially if the aim is to study energy security in a future-oriented way.



First, there is a need to better understand how sources of insecurity can develop over time and how they are affected by the development of the energy system. Second, the current tendency to study the security of supply for each energy carrier separately needs to be complemented by comparisons of different energy carrier's supply chains. Finally, the mainly static perspective on system structure should be complemented with perspectives that to a greater extent take the systems' adaptive capacity and transformability into account, as factors with a potential to reduce the systems vulnerabilities. Furthermore, it may be beneficial to use methodological combinations, conduct more thorough sensitivity analysis and alter the mind-set from securing energy flows to securing energy services. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Energy security, Methodology, Security of supply
in
Energy
volume
73
issue
14 August
pages
1 - 14
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • wos:000341334200001
  • scopus:84905746945
ISSN
1873-6785
DOI
10.1016/j.energy.2014.06.073
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
ecf06147-8848-48ee-a6dc-147db20e375a (old id 4586559)
date added to LUP
2014-08-15 09:38:53
date last changed
2017-10-22 03:27:43
@article{ecf06147-8848-48ee-a6dc-147db20e375a,
  abstract     = {This paper provides an overview of methodologies used for quantitative evaluations of security of supply. The studied material is mainly based on peer-reviewed articles and the methodologies are classified according to which stage in the supply chain their main focus is directed to, as well as their scientific background. Our overview shows that a broad variety of approaches is used, but that there are still some important gaps, especially if the aim is to study energy security in a future-oriented way.<br/><br>
<br/><br>
First, there is a need to better understand how sources of insecurity can develop over time and how they are affected by the development of the energy system. Second, the current tendency to study the security of supply for each energy carrier separately needs to be complemented by comparisons of different energy carrier's supply chains. Finally, the mainly static perspective on system structure should be complemented with perspectives that to a greater extent take the systems' adaptive capacity and transformability into account, as factors with a potential to reduce the systems vulnerabilities. Furthermore, it may be beneficial to use methodological combinations, conduct more thorough sensitivity analysis and alter the mind-set from securing energy flows to securing energy services.},
  author       = {Månsson, André and Johansson, Bengt and Nilsson, Lars J},
  issn         = {1873-6785},
  keyword      = {Energy security,Methodology,Security of supply},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {14 August},
  pages        = {1--14},
  publisher    = {Elsevier},
  series       = {Energy},
  title        = {Assessing energy security: An overview of commonly used methodologies},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2014.06.073},
  volume       = {73},
  year         = {2014},
}