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Unbiased Adaptive LASSO parameter estimation for diffusion processes

Lindström, Erik LU orcid and Höök, Lars Josef (2018) 18th IFAC Symposium on System Identification In IFAC-PapersOnLine 51(15). p.257-262
Abstract
The adaptive Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (aLASSO) method is an algorithm for simultaneous model selection and parameter estimation with oracle properties. In this work we derive an adaptive LASSO type estimator for diffusion driven stochastic differential equation under weak conditions, specifically that the algorithm does not rely on high frequency properties.

All conditional moments needed in our quasi likelihood function are computed from the Kolmogorov Backward equation. This means that a single equation is solved numerically, regardless of the number of observations. The LASSO problem is solved using the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) method.

Our simulations show that the... (More)
The adaptive Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (aLASSO) method is an algorithm for simultaneous model selection and parameter estimation with oracle properties. In this work we derive an adaptive LASSO type estimator for diffusion driven stochastic differential equation under weak conditions, specifically that the algorithm does not rely on high frequency properties.

All conditional moments needed in our quasi likelihood function are computed from the Kolmogorov Backward equation. This means that a single equation is solved numerically, regardless of the number of observations. The LASSO problem is solved using the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) method.

Our simulations show that the resulting algorithm is able to find the correct model with high probability while obtaining unbiased parameter estimates when evaluated on two qualitatively different data sets. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
and
organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
host publication
18th IFAC Symposium on System Identification SYSID 2018
series title
IFAC-PapersOnLine
volume
51
issue
15
pages
257 - 262
publisher
Elsevier
conference name
18th IFAC Symposium on System Identification
conference location
Stockholm, Sweden
conference dates
2018-07-09 - 2018-07-11
external identifiers
  • scopus:85054430867
ISSN
2405-8963
DOI
10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.09.144
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
46ad0d67-4a6b-48db-beee-989ad518ebdc
date added to LUP
2018-04-09 10:48:40
date last changed
2023-09-14 15:15:50
@inproceedings{46ad0d67-4a6b-48db-beee-989ad518ebdc,
  abstract     = {{The adaptive Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (aLASSO) method is an algorithm for simultaneous model selection and parameter estimation with oracle properties. In this work we derive an adaptive LASSO type estimator for diffusion driven stochastic differential equation under weak conditions, specifically that the algorithm does not rely on high frequency properties.<br/><br/>All conditional moments needed in our quasi likelihood function are computed from the Kolmogorov Backward equation. This means that a single equation is solved numerically, regardless of the number of observations. The LASSO problem is solved using the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) method.<br/><br/>Our simulations show that the resulting algorithm is able to find the correct model with high probability while obtaining unbiased parameter estimates when evaluated on two qualitatively different data sets.}},
  author       = {{Lindström, Erik and Höök, Lars Josef}},
  booktitle    = {{18th IFAC Symposium on System Identification SYSID 2018}},
  issn         = {{2405-8963}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{15}},
  pages        = {{257--262}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{IFAC-PapersOnLine}},
  title        = {{Unbiased Adaptive LASSO parameter estimation for diffusion processes}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.09.144}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.09.144}},
  volume       = {{51}},
  year         = {{2018}},
}