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Optimal Trade-Off Between Economic Activity and Health During an Epidemic

Andersson, Tommy LU ; Erlanson, Albin ; Spiro, Daniel and Östling, Robert (2020)
Abstract
Thispaperconsidersasimplemodelwhereasocialplannercaninfluencethespread-intensity of an infection wave, and, consequently, also the economic activity and population health, throughasingleparameter. Populationhealthisassumedtoonlybenegativelyaffectedwhen thenumberofsimultaneouslyinfectedexceedshealthcarecapacity. Themainfindingisthat if (i) the planner attaches a positive weight on economic activity and (ii) it is more harmful for the economy to be locked down for longer than shorter time periods, then the optimal policy is to (weakly) exceed health care capacity at some time.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; and
organization
alternative title
Optimal trade-off mellan ekonomisk aktivitet och hälsa under en epidemi
publishing date
type
Other contribution
publication status
unpublished
subject
keywords
Covid-19 pandemic, SI-model, economic activity, health, optimal policy
pages
12 pages
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
4754fa1b-088a-4cd6-b16b-2ee3b3bf4ef8
alternative location
https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.07590
date added to LUP
2020-05-18 20:17:41
date last changed
2020-05-19 08:36:44
@misc{4754fa1b-088a-4cd6-b16b-2ee3b3bf4ef8,
  abstract     = {{Thispaperconsidersasimplemodelwhereasocialplannercaninfluencethespread-intensity of an infection wave, and, consequently, also the economic activity and population health, throughasingleparameter. Populationhealthisassumedtoonlybenegativelyaffectedwhen thenumberofsimultaneouslyinfectedexceedshealthcarecapacity. Themainfindingisthat if (i) the planner attaches a positive weight on economic activity and (ii) it is more harmful for the economy to be locked down for longer than shorter time periods, then the optimal policy is to (weakly) exceed health care capacity at some time.}},
  author       = {{Andersson, Tommy and Erlanson, Albin and Spiro, Daniel and Östling, Robert}},
  keywords     = {{Covid-19 pandemic; SI-model; economic activity; health; optimal policy}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{05}},
  title        = {{Optimal Trade-Off Between Economic Activity and Health During an Epidemic}},
  url          = {{https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.07590}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}