Skip to main content

Lund University Publications

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Spatiotemporal link between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), extreme heat, and thermal stress in the Asia-Pacific region

Eggeling, Jakob LU ; Gao, Chuansi LU ; An, Dong LU ; Cruz-Cano, Raul ; He, Hao ; Zhang, Linus LU orcid ; Wang, Yu-Chun and Sapkota, Amir (2024) In Scientific Reports 14(1).
Abstract

Climate change is closely monitored and numerous studies reports increasing air temperature and weather extremes across the globe. As a direct consequence of the increase of global temperature, the increased heat stress is becoming a global threat to public health. While most climate change and epidemiological studies focus on air temperature to explain the increasing risks, heat strain can be predicted using comprehensive indices such as Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). The Asia-Pacific region is prone to thermal stress and the high population densities in the region impose high health risk. This study evaluated the air temperature and UTCI trends between 1990 and 2019 and found significant increasing trends for air temperature... (More)

Climate change is closely monitored and numerous studies reports increasing air temperature and weather extremes across the globe. As a direct consequence of the increase of global temperature, the increased heat stress is becoming a global threat to public health. While most climate change and epidemiological studies focus on air temperature to explain the increasing risks, heat strain can be predicted using comprehensive indices such as Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). The Asia-Pacific region is prone to thermal stress and the high population densities in the region impose high health risk. This study evaluated the air temperature and UTCI trends between 1990 and 2019 and found significant increasing trends for air temperature for the whole region while the increases of UTCI are not as pronounced and mainly found in the northern part of the region. These results indicate that even though air temperature is increasing, the risks of heat stress when assessed using UTCI may be alleviated by other factors. The associations between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and heat stress was evaluated on a seasonal level and the strongest regional responses were found during December-January (DJF) and March-May (MAM).

(Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Scientific Reports
volume
14
issue
1
article number
7448
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • scopus:85188937430
  • pmid:38548842
ISSN
2045-2322
DOI
10.1038/s41598-024-58288-0
project
Enhancing Belmont Research Action to support EU policy making on climate change and health
Addressing Extreme Weather Related Diarrheal Disease Risks in the Asia-Pacific Region
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
4a2304e2-4a78-4c5e-b215-d0adb16fc368
date added to LUP
2024-04-02 11:23:42
date last changed
2024-04-17 08:27:30
@article{4a2304e2-4a78-4c5e-b215-d0adb16fc368,
  abstract     = {{<p>Climate change is closely monitored and numerous studies reports increasing air temperature and weather extremes across the globe. As a direct consequence of the increase of global temperature, the increased heat stress is becoming a global threat to public health. While most climate change and epidemiological studies focus on air temperature to explain the increasing risks, heat strain can be predicted using comprehensive indices such as Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). The Asia-Pacific region is prone to thermal stress and the high population densities in the region impose high health risk. This study evaluated the air temperature and UTCI trends between 1990 and 2019 and found significant increasing trends for air temperature for the whole region while the increases of UTCI are not as pronounced and mainly found in the northern part of the region. These results indicate that even though air temperature is increasing, the risks of heat stress when assessed using UTCI may be alleviated by other factors. The associations between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and heat stress was evaluated on a seasonal level and the strongest regional responses were found during December-January (DJF) and March-May (MAM).</p>}},
  author       = {{Eggeling, Jakob and Gao, Chuansi and An, Dong and Cruz-Cano, Raul and He, Hao and Zhang, Linus and Wang, Yu-Chun and Sapkota, Amir}},
  issn         = {{2045-2322}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{03}},
  number       = {{1}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Scientific Reports}},
  title        = {{Spatiotemporal link between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), extreme heat, and thermal stress in the Asia-Pacific region}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58288-0}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41598-024-58288-0}},
  volume       = {{14}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}