Spatiotemporal link between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), extreme heat, and thermal stress in the Asia-Pacific region
(2024) In Scientific Reports 14(1).- Abstract
Climate change is closely monitored and numerous studies reports increasing air temperature and weather extremes across the globe. As a direct consequence of the increase of global temperature, the increased heat stress is becoming a global threat to public health. While most climate change and epidemiological studies focus on air temperature to explain the increasing risks, heat strain can be predicted using comprehensive indices such as Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). The Asia-Pacific region is prone to thermal stress and the high population densities in the region impose high health risk. This study evaluated the air temperature and UTCI trends between 1990 and 2019 and found significant increasing trends for air temperature... (More)
Climate change is closely monitored and numerous studies reports increasing air temperature and weather extremes across the globe. As a direct consequence of the increase of global temperature, the increased heat stress is becoming a global threat to public health. While most climate change and epidemiological studies focus on air temperature to explain the increasing risks, heat strain can be predicted using comprehensive indices such as Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). The Asia-Pacific region is prone to thermal stress and the high population densities in the region impose high health risk. This study evaluated the air temperature and UTCI trends between 1990 and 2019 and found significant increasing trends for air temperature for the whole region while the increases of UTCI are not as pronounced and mainly found in the northern part of the region. These results indicate that even though air temperature is increasing, the risks of heat stress when assessed using UTCI may be alleviated by other factors. The associations between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and heat stress was evaluated on a seasonal level and the strongest regional responses were found during December-January (DJF) and March-May (MAM).
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- author
- Eggeling, Jakob LU ; Gao, Chuansi LU ; An, Dong LU ; Cruz-Cano, Raul ; He, Hao ; Zhang, Linus LU ; Wang, Yu-Chun and Sapkota, Amir
- organization
- publishing date
- 2024-03-28
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- in
- Scientific Reports
- volume
- 14
- issue
- 1
- article number
- 7448
- publisher
- Nature Publishing Group
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85188937430
- pmid:38548842
- ISSN
- 2045-2322
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41598-024-58288-0
- project
- Enhancing Belmont Research Action to support EU policy making on climate change and health
- Addressing Extreme Weather Related Diarrheal Disease Risks in the Asia-Pacific Region
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 4a2304e2-4a78-4c5e-b215-d0adb16fc368
- date added to LUP
- 2024-04-02 11:23:42
- date last changed
- 2024-04-17 08:27:30
@article{4a2304e2-4a78-4c5e-b215-d0adb16fc368, abstract = {{<p>Climate change is closely monitored and numerous studies reports increasing air temperature and weather extremes across the globe. As a direct consequence of the increase of global temperature, the increased heat stress is becoming a global threat to public health. While most climate change and epidemiological studies focus on air temperature to explain the increasing risks, heat strain can be predicted using comprehensive indices such as Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). The Asia-Pacific region is prone to thermal stress and the high population densities in the region impose high health risk. This study evaluated the air temperature and UTCI trends between 1990 and 2019 and found significant increasing trends for air temperature for the whole region while the increases of UTCI are not as pronounced and mainly found in the northern part of the region. These results indicate that even though air temperature is increasing, the risks of heat stress when assessed using UTCI may be alleviated by other factors. The associations between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and heat stress was evaluated on a seasonal level and the strongest regional responses were found during December-January (DJF) and March-May (MAM).</p>}}, author = {{Eggeling, Jakob and Gao, Chuansi and An, Dong and Cruz-Cano, Raul and He, Hao and Zhang, Linus and Wang, Yu-Chun and Sapkota, Amir}}, issn = {{2045-2322}}, language = {{eng}}, month = {{03}}, number = {{1}}, publisher = {{Nature Publishing Group}}, series = {{Scientific Reports}}, title = {{Spatiotemporal link between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), extreme heat, and thermal stress in the Asia-Pacific region}}, url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-58288-0}}, doi = {{10.1038/s41598-024-58288-0}}, volume = {{14}}, year = {{2024}}, }