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Assessing resilience, equity, and sustainability of future visions across two urban scales

Berbés-Blázquez, Marta ; Cook, Elizabeth M. ; Grimm, Nancy B. ; Iwaniec, David M. ; Mannetti, Lelani M. ; Muñoz-Erickson, Tischa A. and Wahl, Darin LU (2023) In Sustainability Science 18(6). p.2549-2566
Abstract

Cities need to take swift action to deal with the impacts of extreme climate events. The co-production of positive visions offers the potential to not only imagine but also intervene in guiding change toward more desirable urban futures. While participatory visioning continues to be used as a tool for urban planning, there needs to be a way of comparing and evaluating future visions so that they can inform decision-making. Traditional tools for comparison tend to favor quantitative modeling, which is limited in its ability to capture nuances or normative elements of visions. In this paper, we offer a qualitative method to assess the resilience, equity, and sustainability of future urban visions and demonstrate its use by applying it to... (More)

Cities need to take swift action to deal with the impacts of extreme climate events. The co-production of positive visions offers the potential to not only imagine but also intervene in guiding change toward more desirable urban futures. While participatory visioning continues to be used as a tool for urban planning, there needs to be a way of comparing and evaluating future visions so that they can inform decision-making. Traditional tools for comparison tend to favor quantitative modeling, which is limited in its ability to capture nuances or normative elements of visions. In this paper, we offer a qualitative method to assess the resilience, equity, and sustainability of future urban visions and demonstrate its use by applying it to 11 visions from Phoenix, AZ. The visions were co-produced at two different governance scales: five visions were created at the village (or borough) scale, and six visions were created at the regional (or metropolitan) scale. Our analysis reveals different emphases in the mechanisms present in the visions to advance resilience, sustainability, and equity. In particular, we note that regional future visions align with a green sustainability agenda, whereas village visions focus on social issues and emphasize equity-driven approaches. The visions have implications for future trajectories, and the priorities that manifest at the two scales speak of the political nature of visioning and the need to explore how these processes may interact in complementary, synergistic, or antagonistic ways.

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author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Assessment, Phoenix (AZ), Scenarios, Social–ecological–technological systems, Urban futures
in
Sustainability Science
volume
18
issue
6
pages
2549 - 2566
publisher
Springer
external identifiers
  • scopus:85168474343
ISSN
1862-4065
DOI
10.1007/s11625-023-01396-z
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
546654f3-88ef-41ff-8584-5f89ceca6ae0
date added to LUP
2023-11-13 14:15:36
date last changed
2023-11-13 14:16:39
@article{546654f3-88ef-41ff-8584-5f89ceca6ae0,
  abstract     = {{<p>Cities need to take swift action to deal with the impacts of extreme climate events. The co-production of positive visions offers the potential to not only imagine but also intervene in guiding change toward more desirable urban futures. While participatory visioning continues to be used as a tool for urban planning, there needs to be a way of comparing and evaluating future visions so that they can inform decision-making. Traditional tools for comparison tend to favor quantitative modeling, which is limited in its ability to capture nuances or normative elements of visions. In this paper, we offer a qualitative method to assess the resilience, equity, and sustainability of future urban visions and demonstrate its use by applying it to 11 visions from Phoenix, AZ. The visions were co-produced at two different governance scales: five visions were created at the village (or borough) scale, and six visions were created at the regional (or metropolitan) scale. Our analysis reveals different emphases in the mechanisms present in the visions to advance resilience, sustainability, and equity. In particular, we note that regional future visions align with a green sustainability agenda, whereas village visions focus on social issues and emphasize equity-driven approaches. The visions have implications for future trajectories, and the priorities that manifest at the two scales speak of the political nature of visioning and the need to explore how these processes may interact in complementary, synergistic, or antagonistic ways.</p>}},
  author       = {{Berbés-Blázquez, Marta and Cook, Elizabeth M. and Grimm, Nancy B. and Iwaniec, David M. and Mannetti, Lelani M. and Muñoz-Erickson, Tischa A. and Wahl, Darin}},
  issn         = {{1862-4065}},
  keywords     = {{Assessment; Phoenix (AZ); Scenarios; Social–ecological–technological systems; Urban futures}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{6}},
  pages        = {{2549--2566}},
  publisher    = {{Springer}},
  series       = {{Sustainability Science}},
  title        = {{Assessing resilience, equity, and sustainability of future visions across two urban scales}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-023-01396-z}},
  doi          = {{10.1007/s11625-023-01396-z}},
  volume       = {{18}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}