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The influence of social mobility on fertility behaviour in the long run. An application of Diagonal Reference Models (DRM) to Historical Demography (Southern Sweden, 1870-2015)

Brea-Martinez, Gabriel LU and Dribe, Martin LU (2022) European Society of Historical Demography
Abstract
Social science has always been interested in the effect of social mobility on fertility behavior, bringing mixed evidence. Part of this is due to an identification problem. Accordingly, conventional models cannot disentangle which effects are due to social mobility, background, or origin alone. Diagonal reference models accurately estimate the additional impact of social mobility, net of background and destination classes, in different outcomes. In this sense, we propose to apply DRMs for the first time in historical demography to study how social mobility may have affected long-term fertility behavior. We use long-term longitudinal data for southern Sweden (Scania). Our first results show a decrease in the background importance over time... (More)
Social science has always been interested in the effect of social mobility on fertility behavior, bringing mixed evidence. Part of this is due to an identification problem. Accordingly, conventional models cannot disentangle which effects are due to social mobility, background, or origin alone. Diagonal reference models accurately estimate the additional impact of social mobility, net of background and destination classes, in different outcomes. In this sense, we propose to apply DRMs for the first time in historical demography to study how social mobility may have affected long-term fertility behavior. We use long-term longitudinal data for southern Sweden (Scania). Our first results show a decrease in the background importance over time and that social mobility related more with lower fertility in the past for couples during the fertility transition periods. (Less)
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type
Contribution to conference
publication status
published
subject
conference name
European Society of Historical Demography
conference location
Madrid, Spain
conference dates
2022-03-02 - 2022-03-04
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
6cfa7007-a62c-45c9-8b24-d55dc3760551
date added to LUP
2022-03-13 19:36:53
date last changed
2022-05-30 16:13:03
@misc{6cfa7007-a62c-45c9-8b24-d55dc3760551,
  abstract     = {{Social science has always been interested in the effect of social mobility on fertility behavior, bringing mixed evidence. Part of this is due to an identification problem. Accordingly, conventional models cannot disentangle which effects are due to social mobility, background, or origin alone. Diagonal reference models accurately estimate the additional impact of social mobility, net of background and destination classes, in different outcomes. In this sense, we propose to apply DRMs for the first time in historical demography to study how social mobility may have affected long-term fertility behavior. We use long-term longitudinal data for southern Sweden (Scania). Our first results show a decrease in the background importance over time and that social mobility related more with lower fertility in the past for couples during the fertility transition periods.}},
  author       = {{Brea-Martinez, Gabriel and Dribe, Martin}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{03}},
  title        = {{The influence of social mobility on fertility behaviour in the long run. An application of Diagonal Reference Models (DRM) to Historical Demography (Southern Sweden, 1870-2015)}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}