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Equality Constraints in Linear Hawkes Processes

Mogensen, Søren Wengel LU (2022) 1st Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, CLeaR 2022 177. p.576-593
Abstract

Conditional independence is often used as a testable implication of causal models of random variables. In addition, equality constraints have been proposed to distinguish between data-generating mechanisms. We show that one can also find equality constraints in linear Hawkes processes, extending this theory to a class of continuous-time stochastic processes. This is done by proving that Hawkes process models in a certain sense satisfy the equality constraints of linear structural equation models. These results allow more refined constraint-based structure learning in this class of processes. Arguing the existence of equality constraints leads us to new identification results for Hawkes processes. We also describe a causal interpretation... (More)

Conditional independence is often used as a testable implication of causal models of random variables. In addition, equality constraints have been proposed to distinguish between data-generating mechanisms. We show that one can also find equality constraints in linear Hawkes processes, extending this theory to a class of continuous-time stochastic processes. This is done by proving that Hawkes process models in a certain sense satisfy the equality constraints of linear structural equation models. These results allow more refined constraint-based structure learning in this class of processes. Arguing the existence of equality constraints leads us to new identification results for Hawkes processes. We also describe a causal interpretation of the linear Hawkes process which is closely related to its so-called cluster representation.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
keywords
causal identification, equality constraints, linear Hawkes processes, structure learning
host publication
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
volume
177
pages
18 pages
publisher
ML Research Press
conference name
1st Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, CLeaR 2022
conference location
Eureka, United States
conference dates
2022-04-11 - 2022-04-13
external identifiers
  • scopus:85162142026
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
72c20e90-74ea-4567-bb20-cf1ce2598fef
date added to LUP
2023-10-20 14:48:16
date last changed
2023-10-20 14:48:16
@inproceedings{72c20e90-74ea-4567-bb20-cf1ce2598fef,
  abstract     = {{<p>Conditional independence is often used as a testable implication of causal models of random variables. In addition, equality constraints have been proposed to distinguish between data-generating mechanisms. We show that one can also find equality constraints in linear Hawkes processes, extending this theory to a class of continuous-time stochastic processes. This is done by proving that Hawkes process models in a certain sense satisfy the equality constraints of linear structural equation models. These results allow more refined constraint-based structure learning in this class of processes. Arguing the existence of equality constraints leads us to new identification results for Hawkes processes. We also describe a causal interpretation of the linear Hawkes process which is closely related to its so-called cluster representation.</p>}},
  author       = {{Mogensen, Søren Wengel}},
  booktitle    = {{Proceedings of Machine Learning Research}},
  keywords     = {{causal identification; equality constraints; linear Hawkes processes; structure learning}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{576--593}},
  publisher    = {{ML Research Press}},
  title        = {{Equality Constraints in Linear Hawkes Processes}},
  volume       = {{177}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}