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The human–environment nexus and vegetation–rainfall sensitivity in tropical drylands

Abel, Christin ; Horion, Stéphanie ; Tagesson, Torbern LU ; De Keersmaecker, Wanda ; Seddon, Alistair W.R. ; Abdi, Abdulhakim M. LU orcid and Fensholt, Rasmus (2020) In Nature Sustainability 4. p.25-32
Abstract

Global climate change is projected to lead to an increase in both the areal extent and degree of aridity in the world’s drylands. At the same time, the majority of drylands are located in developing countries where high population densities and rapid population growth place additional pressure on the ecosystem. Thus, drylands are particularly vulnerable to environmental changes and large-scale environmental degradation. However, little is known about the long-term functional response of vegetation to such changes induced by the interplay of complex human–environmental interactions. Here we use time series of satellite data to show how vegetation productivity in relation to water availability, which is a major aspect of vegetation... (More)

Global climate change is projected to lead to an increase in both the areal extent and degree of aridity in the world’s drylands. At the same time, the majority of drylands are located in developing countries where high population densities and rapid population growth place additional pressure on the ecosystem. Thus, drylands are particularly vulnerable to environmental changes and large-scale environmental degradation. However, little is known about the long-term functional response of vegetation to such changes induced by the interplay of complex human–environmental interactions. Here we use time series of satellite data to show how vegetation productivity in relation to water availability, which is a major aspect of vegetation functioning in tropical drylands, has changed over the past two decades. In total, one-third of tropical dryland ecosystems show significant (P < 0.05) changes in vegetation–rainfall sensitivity with pronounced differences between regions and continents. We identify population as the main driver of negative changes, especially for developing countries. This is contrasted by positive changes in vegetation–rainfall sensitivity in richer countries, probably resulting from favourable climatic conditions and/or caused by an intensification and expansion of human land management. Our results highlight geographic and economic differences in the relationship between vegetation–rainfall sensitivity and associated drivers in tropical drylands, marking an important step towards the identification, understanding and mitigation of potential negative effects from a changing world on ecosystems and human well-being.

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author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Drylands, Land-use, Climate research, Global change ecology, Ecology, Earth observation, Remote sensing
in
Nature Sustainability
volume
4
pages
25 - 32
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • scopus:85089756039
ISSN
2398-9629
DOI
10.1038/s41893-020-00597-z
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
75c52606-eb29-4bf3-860d-8a8f931b5fdd
date added to LUP
2020-09-04 11:12:13
date last changed
2023-04-25 15:59:43
@article{75c52606-eb29-4bf3-860d-8a8f931b5fdd,
  abstract     = {{<p>Global climate change is projected to lead to an increase in both the areal extent and degree of aridity in the world’s drylands. At the same time, the majority of drylands are located in developing countries where high population densities and rapid population growth place additional pressure on the ecosystem. Thus, drylands are particularly vulnerable to environmental changes and large-scale environmental degradation. However, little is known about the long-term functional response of vegetation to such changes induced by the interplay of complex human–environmental interactions. Here we use time series of satellite data to show how vegetation productivity in relation to water availability, which is a major aspect of vegetation functioning in tropical drylands, has changed over the past two decades. In total, one-third of tropical dryland ecosystems show significant (P &lt; 0.05) changes in vegetation–rainfall sensitivity with pronounced differences between regions and continents. We identify population as the main driver of negative changes, especially for developing countries. This is contrasted by positive changes in vegetation–rainfall sensitivity in richer countries, probably resulting from favourable climatic conditions and/or caused by an intensification and expansion of human land management. Our results highlight geographic and economic differences in the relationship between vegetation–rainfall sensitivity and associated drivers in tropical drylands, marking an important step towards the identification, understanding and mitigation of potential negative effects from a changing world on ecosystems and human well-being.</p>}},
  author       = {{Abel, Christin and Horion, Stéphanie and Tagesson, Torbern and De Keersmaecker, Wanda and Seddon, Alistair W.R. and Abdi, Abdulhakim M. and Fensholt, Rasmus}},
  issn         = {{2398-9629}},
  keywords     = {{Drylands; Land-use; Climate research; Global change ecology; Ecology; Earth observation; Remote sensing}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{08}},
  pages        = {{25--32}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Nature Sustainability}},
  title        = {{The human–environment nexus and vegetation–rainfall sensitivity in tropical drylands}},
  url          = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/145165941/Abel_et_al_2021_Accepted_.pdf}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41893-020-00597-z}},
  volume       = {{4}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}