Drivers of rice production: evidence from five Sub-Saharan African countries
Nasrin, Sultana LU ; Bergman-Lodin, Johanna LU ; Jirström, Magnus LU ; Holmquist, Björn LU
; Andersson Djurfeldt, Agnes
LU
and Djurfeldt, Göran
LU
(2015)
In Agriculture & Food Security
4(12).
p.1-19
- Abstract
- Background: In spite of considerable rice production gains over the past 50 years, Sub-Saharan Africa is becoming
increasingly dependent on rice imports as demand is outpacing domestic supply. The serious economic and social
strains caused by this have urged national leaders to address production deficits. The aim of this article is to analyse
and discuss the drivers behind recent changes in rice production in Africa South of the Sahara, focusing on Ghana,
Malawi, Nigeria, Tanzania and Mozambique. Considering the period 2002–2008, we model production performance
and changes in production amongst 317 rice-growing households using multilevel and longitudinal data. We evaluate
and discuss... (More) - Background: In spite of considerable rice production gains over the past 50 years, Sub-Saharan Africa is becoming
increasingly dependent on rice imports as demand is outpacing domestic supply. The serious economic and social
strains caused by this have urged national leaders to address production deficits. The aim of this article is to analyse
and discuss the drivers behind recent changes in rice production in Africa South of the Sahara, focusing on Ghana,
Malawi, Nigeria, Tanzania and Mozambique. Considering the period 2002–2008, we model production performance
and changes in production amongst 317 rice-growing households using multilevel and longitudinal data. We evaluate
and discuss the role of three key processes: the role of commercial drivers, farm technology and macro-level
conditions.
Results: We show that until 2002, production was driven by a combination of the three key processes considered,
while during the period 2002–2008, production increases were primarily associated with area expansion and commercial
drivers. This suggests that production lately has been more driven by processes of extensification than intensification.
We also note that in none of the periods considered, the share of the state budget allocated to agriculture
had a significant effect on production and that recent developments do not give any obvious support for an Asianstyle
state-driven Green Revolution in rice in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Conclusions: The role of commercialization in explaining changes in production suggests that policies strengthening
food staple markets in the sub-continent hold great potential for driving rice production in the near future. Due to
the scarcity of available land, the possibilities of further growth in the rice sector are limited without an intensification
of production. Hence, farmers also need to access new farm technology, and positive development of rice production
would in turn contribute to an improvement of food security. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/7859229
- author
- Nasrin, Sultana
LU
; Bergman-Lodin, Johanna
LU
; Jirström, Magnus
LU
; Holmquist, Björn
LU
; Andersson Djurfeldt, Agnes
LU
and Djurfeldt, Göran
LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2015
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Multilevel data, Longitudinal data, Macro-level conditions, New technology, Commercialization, Change in production, Africa, Rice consumption, Rice production
- in
- Agriculture & Food Security
- volume
- 4
- issue
- 12
- pages
- 1 - 19
- publisher
- BioMed Central (BMC)
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85006038107
- ISSN
- 2048-7010
- DOI
- 10.1186/s40066-015-0032-6
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 26ab07de-2d50-4543-862b-a87fca01157f (old id 7859229)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 13:46:16
- date last changed
- 2022-04-21 23:32:13
@article{26ab07de-2d50-4543-862b-a87fca01157f,
abstract = {{Background: In spite of considerable rice production gains over the past 50 years, Sub-Saharan Africa is becoming<br/><br>
increasingly dependent on rice imports as demand is outpacing domestic supply. The serious economic and social<br/><br>
strains caused by this have urged national leaders to address production deficits. The aim of this article is to analyse<br/><br>
and discuss the drivers behind recent changes in rice production in Africa South of the Sahara, focusing on Ghana,<br/><br>
Malawi, Nigeria, Tanzania and Mozambique. Considering the period 2002–2008, we model production performance<br/><br>
and changes in production amongst 317 rice-growing households using multilevel and longitudinal data. We evaluate<br/><br>
and discuss the role of three key processes: the role of commercial drivers, farm technology and macro-level<br/><br>
conditions.<br/><br>
Results: We show that until 2002, production was driven by a combination of the three key processes considered,<br/><br>
while during the period 2002–2008, production increases were primarily associated with area expansion and commercial<br/><br>
drivers. This suggests that production lately has been more driven by processes of extensification than intensification.<br/><br>
We also note that in none of the periods considered, the share of the state budget allocated to agriculture<br/><br>
had a significant effect on production and that recent developments do not give any obvious support for an Asianstyle<br/><br>
state-driven Green Revolution in rice in Sub-Saharan Africa.<br/><br>
Conclusions: The role of commercialization in explaining changes in production suggests that policies strengthening<br/><br>
food staple markets in the sub-continent hold great potential for driving rice production in the near future. Due to<br/><br>
the scarcity of available land, the possibilities of further growth in the rice sector are limited without an intensification<br/><br>
of production. Hence, farmers also need to access new farm technology, and positive development of rice production<br/><br>
would in turn contribute to an improvement of food security.}},
author = {{Nasrin, Sultana and Bergman-Lodin, Johanna and Jirström, Magnus and Holmquist, Björn and Andersson Djurfeldt, Agnes and Djurfeldt, Göran}},
issn = {{2048-7010}},
keywords = {{Multilevel data; Longitudinal data; Macro-level conditions; New technology; Commercialization; Change in production; Africa; Rice consumption; Rice production}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{12}},
pages = {{1--19}},
publisher = {{BioMed Central (BMC)}},
series = {{Agriculture & Food Security}},
title = {{Drivers of rice production: evidence from five Sub-Saharan African countries}},
url = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/3577852/7861127}},
doi = {{10.1186/s40066-015-0032-6}},
volume = {{4}},
year = {{2015}},
}