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Threshold Models of Cascades in Large-Scale Networks

Rossi, Wilbert Samuel ; Como, Giacomo LU and Fagnani, Fabio (2019) In IEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering 6(2). p.158-172
Abstract

The spread of new beliefs, behaviors, conventions, norms, and technologies in social and economic networks are often driven by cascading mechanisms, and so are contagion dynamics in financial networks. Global behaviors generally emerge from the interplay between the structure of the interconnection topology and the local agents' interactions. We focus on the Threshold Model (TM) of cascades first introduced by Granovetter (1978). This can be interpreted as the best response dynamics in a network game whereby agents choose strategically between two actions. Each agent is equipped with an individual threshold representing the number of her neighbors who must have adopted a certain action for that to become the agent's best response. We... (More)

The spread of new beliefs, behaviors, conventions, norms, and technologies in social and economic networks are often driven by cascading mechanisms, and so are contagion dynamics in financial networks. Global behaviors generally emerge from the interplay between the structure of the interconnection topology and the local agents' interactions. We focus on the Threshold Model (TM) of cascades first introduced by Granovetter (1978). This can be interpreted as the best response dynamics in a network game whereby agents choose strategically between two actions. Each agent is equipped with an individual threshold representing the number of her neighbors who must have adopted a certain action for that to become the agent's best response. We analyze the TM dynamics on large-scale networks with heterogeneous agents. Through a local mean-field approach, we obtain a nonlinear, one-dimensional, recursive equation that approximates the evolution of the TM dynamics on most of the networks of a given size and distribution of degrees and thresholds. We prove that, on all but a fraction of networks with given degree and threshold statistics that is vanishing as the network size grows large, the actual fraction of adopters of a given action is arbitrarily close to the output of the aforementioned recursion. Numerical simulations on some real network testbeds show good adherence to the theoretical predictions.

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author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
best response, Cascades, coordination game, local mean-field, random graphs, social networks, threshold model
in
IEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering
volume
6
issue
2
article number
8120135
pages
15 pages
publisher
IEEE - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
external identifiers
  • scopus:85035753146
ISSN
2327-4697
DOI
10.1109/TNSE.2017.2777941
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
79139f7f-f91b-4cc7-93be-c39a86381812
date added to LUP
2019-06-29 14:19:40
date last changed
2022-05-03 23:16:15
@article{79139f7f-f91b-4cc7-93be-c39a86381812,
  abstract     = {{<p>The spread of new beliefs, behaviors, conventions, norms, and technologies in social and economic networks are often driven by cascading mechanisms, and so are contagion dynamics in financial networks. Global behaviors generally emerge from the interplay between the structure of the interconnection topology and the local agents' interactions. We focus on the Threshold Model (TM) of cascades first introduced by Granovetter (1978). This can be interpreted as the best response dynamics in a network game whereby agents choose strategically between two actions. Each agent is equipped with an individual threshold representing the number of her neighbors who must have adopted a certain action for that to become the agent's best response. We analyze the TM dynamics on large-scale networks with heterogeneous agents. Through a local mean-field approach, we obtain a nonlinear, one-dimensional, recursive equation that approximates the evolution of the TM dynamics on most of the networks of a given size and distribution of degrees and thresholds. We prove that, on all but a fraction of networks with given degree and threshold statistics that is vanishing as the network size grows large, the actual fraction of adopters of a given action is arbitrarily close to the output of the aforementioned recursion. Numerical simulations on some real network testbeds show good adherence to the theoretical predictions.</p>}},
  author       = {{Rossi, Wilbert Samuel and Como, Giacomo and Fagnani, Fabio}},
  issn         = {{2327-4697}},
  keywords     = {{best response; Cascades; coordination game; local mean-field; random graphs; social networks; threshold model}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{04}},
  number       = {{2}},
  pages        = {{158--172}},
  publisher    = {{IEEE - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.}},
  series       = {{IEEE Transactions on Network Science and Engineering}},
  title        = {{Threshold Models of Cascades in Large-Scale Networks}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/TNSE.2017.2777941}},
  doi          = {{10.1109/TNSE.2017.2777941}},
  volume       = {{6}},
  year         = {{2019}},
}