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Explaining decoupling in high income countries : A structural decomposition analysis of the change in energy footprint from 1970 to 2009

Kulionis, Viktoras LU and Wood, Richard (2020) In Energy 194.
Abstract

The decoupling of energy use from economic growth is an essential element in the transition to a sustainable future. However, little is known about the long-term drivers of decoupling, especially considering the possibility that it is at least partially due to increased trade. This study uses structural decomposition analysis to examine the main factors that contribute to changes in the energy footprint of Denmark, the United Kingdom, France and the United States of America back to 1970. The results show that the changes in energy footprint have been driven mainly by two countervailing forces: declines in energy intensity and increases in consumption per capita. Energy efficiency improvements that take place abroad play an increasingly... (More)

The decoupling of energy use from economic growth is an essential element in the transition to a sustainable future. However, little is known about the long-term drivers of decoupling, especially considering the possibility that it is at least partially due to increased trade. This study uses structural decomposition analysis to examine the main factors that contribute to changes in the energy footprint of Denmark, the United Kingdom, France and the United States of America back to 1970. The results show that the changes in energy footprint have been driven mainly by two countervailing forces: declines in energy intensity and increases in consumption per capita. Energy efficiency improvements that take place abroad play an increasingly important role. In recent years they accounted for a greater share of the reduction in energy footprint than domestic energy efficiency improvements. The trade sourcing effect was negligible in the beginning of the study period but has grown in importance since 1995 and accelerated the growth of the energy footprint by roughly 0.5% per year. Whilst the electricity sector has clearly played the dominant role, the contribution of factor changes in services and manufacturing should not be overlooked.

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author
and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Energy footprint, Input-output analysis, International trade, Structural decomposition analysis
in
Energy
volume
194
article number
116909
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85077930495
ISSN
0360-5442
DOI
10.1016/j.energy.2020.116909
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
7cc63d09-51dc-4332-9d23-1a19563b611c
date added to LUP
2020-01-30 17:45:43
date last changed
2022-04-18 20:10:31
@article{7cc63d09-51dc-4332-9d23-1a19563b611c,
  abstract     = {{<p>The decoupling of energy use from economic growth is an essential element in the transition to a sustainable future. However, little is known about the long-term drivers of decoupling, especially considering the possibility that it is at least partially due to increased trade. This study uses structural decomposition analysis to examine the main factors that contribute to changes in the energy footprint of Denmark, the United Kingdom, France and the United States of America back to 1970. The results show that the changes in energy footprint have been driven mainly by two countervailing forces: declines in energy intensity and increases in consumption per capita. Energy efficiency improvements that take place abroad play an increasingly important role. In recent years they accounted for a greater share of the reduction in energy footprint than domestic energy efficiency improvements. The trade sourcing effect was negligible in the beginning of the study period but has grown in importance since 1995 and accelerated the growth of the energy footprint by roughly 0.5% per year. Whilst the electricity sector has clearly played the dominant role, the contribution of factor changes in services and manufacturing should not be overlooked.</p>}},
  author       = {{Kulionis, Viktoras and Wood, Richard}},
  issn         = {{0360-5442}},
  keywords     = {{Energy footprint; Input-output analysis; International trade; Structural decomposition analysis}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{03}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Energy}},
  title        = {{Explaining decoupling in high income countries : A structural decomposition analysis of the change in energy footprint from 1970 to 2009}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.116909}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.energy.2020.116909}},
  volume       = {{194}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}