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Infinitely elastic? -the influence of the Efficient Markets paradigm on financial regulation

Skrutkowski, Mathias Alexander LU (2026) In Journal of Philosophical Economics 18(7).
Abstract
This paper examines the influence of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) on financial regulation, using a perspective drawing on arguments from the Philosophy of Science discipline.The paper aims to show that, prior to the global financial crisis, there already existed a large body of empirically observed asset price anomalies, which may be seen to contradict the notion of elastic demand curves. However, proponents of the EMH tended to interpret these as corroborations, rather than refutations, through articulation of what Kuhn (1996) would characterise as ad-hoc hypotheses. The Information Hypothesis is identified as particularly influential in this respect. Furthermore, the paper makes the argument that, when supplemented with the... (More)
This paper examines the influence of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) on financial regulation, using a perspective drawing on arguments from the Philosophy of Science discipline.The paper aims to show that, prior to the global financial crisis, there already existed a large body of empirically observed asset price anomalies, which may be seen to contradict the notion of elastic demand curves. However, proponents of the EMH tended to interpret these as corroborations, rather than refutations, through articulation of what Kuhn (1996) would characterise as ad-hoc hypotheses. The Information Hypothesis is identified as particularly influential in this respect. Furthermore, the paper makes the argument that, when supplemented with the Information Hypothesis, the hypothesis of elastic demand curves becomes tautological and thus unfalsifiable, violating Popper's standard for scientific theories. A potential lesson from this relates to more rigorous vetting of scientific standards in research used to motivate policy changes. (Less)
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author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Journal of Philosophical Economics
volume
18
issue
7
publisher
Episciences
ISSN
1844-8208
DOI
10.46298/jpe.16371
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
83bfaf28-ddc8-47a2-9cdd-392cb1207f04
date added to LUP
2026-03-23 13:51:02
date last changed
2026-03-23 16:01:26
@article{83bfaf28-ddc8-47a2-9cdd-392cb1207f04,
  abstract     = {{This paper examines the influence of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) on financial regulation, using a perspective drawing on arguments from the Philosophy of Science discipline.The paper aims to show that, prior to the global financial crisis, there already existed a large body of empirically observed asset price anomalies, which may be seen to contradict the notion of elastic demand curves. However, proponents of the EMH tended to interpret these as corroborations, rather than refutations, through articulation of what Kuhn (1996) would characterise as ad-hoc hypotheses. The Information Hypothesis is identified as particularly influential in this respect. Furthermore, the paper makes the argument that, when supplemented with the Information Hypothesis, the hypothesis of elastic demand curves becomes tautological and thus unfalsifiable, violating Popper's standard for scientific theories. A potential lesson from this relates to more rigorous vetting of scientific standards in research used to motivate policy changes.}},
  author       = {{Skrutkowski, Mathias Alexander}},
  issn         = {{1844-8208}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{02}},
  number       = {{7}},
  publisher    = {{Episciences}},
  series       = {{Journal of Philosophical Economics}},
  title        = {{Infinitely elastic? -the influence of the Efficient Markets paradigm on financial regulation}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.46298/jpe.16371}},
  doi          = {{10.46298/jpe.16371}},
  volume       = {{18}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}