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Modelling the impact of climate change and atmospheric N deposition on French forests biodiversity.

Rizzetto, Simon; Belyazid, Salim LU ; Gégout, Jean-Claude; Nicolas, Manuel; Alard, Didier; Corcket, Emmanuel; Gaudio, Noémie; Sverdrup, Harald and Probst, Anne (2016) In Environmental Pollution
Abstract
A dynamic coupled biogeochemical-ecological model was used to simulate the effects of nitrogen deposition and climate change on plant communities at three forest sites in France. The three sites had different forest covers (sessile oak, Norway spruce and silver fir), three nitrogen loads ranging from relatively low to high, different climatic regions and different soil types. Both the availability of vegetation time series and the environmental niches of the understory species allowed to evaluate the model for predicting the composition of the three plant communities. The calibration of the environmental niches was successful, with a model performance consistently reasonably high throughout the three sites. The model simulations of two... (More)
A dynamic coupled biogeochemical-ecological model was used to simulate the effects of nitrogen deposition and climate change on plant communities at three forest sites in France. The three sites had different forest covers (sessile oak, Norway spruce and silver fir), three nitrogen loads ranging from relatively low to high, different climatic regions and different soil types. Both the availability of vegetation time series and the environmental niches of the understory species allowed to evaluate the model for predicting the composition of the three plant communities. The calibration of the environmental niches was successful, with a model performance consistently reasonably high throughout the three sites. The model simulations of two climatic and two deposition scenarios showed that climate change may entirely compromise the eventual recovery from eutrophication of the simulated plant communities in response to the reductions in nitrogen deposition. The interplay between climate and deposition was strongly governed by site characteristics and histories in the long term, while forest management remained the main driver of change in the short term. (Less)
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author
organization
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type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Environmental Pollution
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • pmid:26809502
  • scopus:84956857198
  • wos:000377921800108
ISSN
0269-7491
DOI
10.1016/j.envpol.2015.12.048
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
fe92425c-aff5-4174-b349-a2e537103460 (old id 8573706)
date added to LUP
2016-02-16 16:10:01
date last changed
2017-10-22 04:03:23
@article{fe92425c-aff5-4174-b349-a2e537103460,
  abstract     = {A dynamic coupled biogeochemical-ecological model was used to simulate the effects of nitrogen deposition and climate change on plant communities at three forest sites in France. The three sites had different forest covers (sessile oak, Norway spruce and silver fir), three nitrogen loads ranging from relatively low to high, different climatic regions and different soil types. Both the availability of vegetation time series and the environmental niches of the understory species allowed to evaluate the model for predicting the composition of the three plant communities. The calibration of the environmental niches was successful, with a model performance consistently reasonably high throughout the three sites. The model simulations of two climatic and two deposition scenarios showed that climate change may entirely compromise the eventual recovery from eutrophication of the simulated plant communities in response to the reductions in nitrogen deposition. The interplay between climate and deposition was strongly governed by site characteristics and histories in the long term, while forest management remained the main driver of change in the short term.},
  author       = {Rizzetto, Simon and Belyazid, Salim and Gégout, Jean-Claude and Nicolas, Manuel and Alard, Didier and Corcket, Emmanuel and Gaudio, Noémie and Sverdrup, Harald and Probst, Anne},
  issn         = {0269-7491},
  language     = {eng},
  month        = {01},
  publisher    = {Elsevier},
  series       = {Environmental Pollution},
  title        = {Modelling the impact of climate change and atmospheric N deposition on French forests biodiversity.},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2015.12.048},
  year         = {2016},
}