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On the Effectiveness of Loan-to-Value Regulation in a Multiconstraint Framework

Grodecka, Anna LU (2020) In Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 52(5). p.1231-1270
Abstract

Models in the infinite horizon macro-housing literature often assume that borrowers are constrained exclusively by the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Motivated by the Swedish microdata, I explore an alternative arrangement where borrowers are constrained by a collateral constraint and by a debt-service-to-income ratio. While stricter LTV limits are often considered as a measure to tackle the rise in household indebtedness, I find that policy designed to lower the maximum permissible LTV ratio may actually leave the debt-to-GDP ratio unchanged and increase housing prices in equilibrium if borrowers are bound by two constraints at the same time.

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author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
borrowing constraints, debt to GDP, debt-service-to-income ratio, E32, E44, E58, G21, household indebtedness, loan-to-value ratio, macroprudential policy, occasionally binding constraints, R21
in
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
volume
52
issue
5
pages
1231 - 1270
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • scopus:85066013502
ISSN
0022-2879
DOI
10.1111/jmcb.12623
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
9707f873-ffff-4831-8714-ae8e249e3275
date added to LUP
2019-06-14 13:58:50
date last changed
2022-04-18 06:45:18
@article{9707f873-ffff-4831-8714-ae8e249e3275,
  abstract     = {{<p>Models in the infinite horizon macro-housing literature often assume that borrowers are constrained exclusively by the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Motivated by the Swedish microdata, I explore an alternative arrangement where borrowers are constrained by a collateral constraint and by a debt-service-to-income ratio. While stricter LTV limits are often considered as a measure to tackle the rise in household indebtedness, I find that policy designed to lower the maximum permissible LTV ratio may actually leave the debt-to-GDP ratio unchanged and increase housing prices in equilibrium if borrowers are bound by two constraints at the same time.</p>}},
  author       = {{Grodecka, Anna}},
  issn         = {{0022-2879}},
  keywords     = {{borrowing constraints; debt to GDP; debt-service-to-income ratio; E32; E44; E58; G21; household indebtedness; loan-to-value ratio; macroprudential policy; occasionally binding constraints; R21}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{1231--1270}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{Journal of Money, Credit and Banking}},
  title        = {{On the Effectiveness of Loan-to-Value Regulation in a Multiconstraint Framework}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12623}},
  doi          = {{10.1111/jmcb.12623}},
  volume       = {{52}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}