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Non-Linear Continuous-Discrete Smoothing by Basis Function Expansions of Brownian Motion

Tronarp, Filip LU and Särkkä, Simo (2018) 21st International Conference on Information Fusion, FUSION 2018
Abstract
This paper is concerned with inferring the state of a Itô stochastic differential equation (SDE) from noisy discrete-time measurements. The problem is approached by considering basis function expansions of Brownian motion, that as a consequence give approximations to the underlying stochastic differential equation in terms of an ordinary differential equation with random coefficients. This allows for representing the latent process at the measurement points as a discrete time system with a non-linear transformation of the previous state and a noise term. The smoothing problem can then be solved by sigma-point or Taylor series approximations of this non-linear function, implementations of which are detailed. Furthermore, a method for... (More)
This paper is concerned with inferring the state of a Itô stochastic differential equation (SDE) from noisy discrete-time measurements. The problem is approached by considering basis function expansions of Brownian motion, that as a consequence give approximations to the underlying stochastic differential equation in terms of an ordinary differential equation with random coefficients. This allows for representing the latent process at the measurement points as a discrete time system with a non-linear transformation of the previous state and a noise term. The smoothing problem can then be solved by sigma-point or Taylor series approximations of this non-linear function, implementations of which are detailed. Furthermore, a method for interpolating the smoothing solution between measurement instances is developed. The developed methods are compared to the Type III smoother in simulation examples involving (i) hyperbolic tangent drift and (ii) the Lorenz 63 system where the present method is found to be better at reconstructing the smoothing solution at the measurement points, while the interpolation scheme between measurement instances appear to suffer from edge effects, serving as an invitation to future research. (Less)
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author
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publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
host publication
21st International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION)
publisher
IEEE - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
conference name
21st International Conference on Information Fusion, FUSION 2018
conference location
Cambridge, United Kingdom
conference dates
2018-07-10 - 2018-07-13
external identifiers
  • scopus:85054091403
ISBN
978-0-9964527-6-2
978-1-5386-4330-3
DOI
10.23919/ICIF.2018.8455493
language
English
LU publication?
no
id
a4e4e816-bddf-45d5-bdf6-bfe03911518b
date added to LUP
2023-08-21 02:15:50
date last changed
2024-02-19 23:01:05
@inproceedings{a4e4e816-bddf-45d5-bdf6-bfe03911518b,
  abstract     = {{This paper is concerned with inferring the state of a Itô stochastic differential equation (SDE) from noisy discrete-time measurements. The problem is approached by considering basis function expansions of Brownian motion, that as a consequence give approximations to the underlying stochastic differential equation in terms of an ordinary differential equation with random coefficients. This allows for representing the latent process at the measurement points as a discrete time system with a non-linear transformation of the previous state and a noise term. The smoothing problem can then be solved by sigma-point or Taylor series approximations of this non-linear function, implementations of which are detailed. Furthermore, a method for interpolating the smoothing solution between measurement instances is developed. The developed methods are compared to the Type III smoother in simulation examples involving (i) hyperbolic tangent drift and (ii) the Lorenz 63 system where the present method is found to be better at reconstructing the smoothing solution at the measurement points, while the interpolation scheme between measurement instances appear to suffer from edge effects, serving as an invitation to future research.}},
  author       = {{Tronarp, Filip and Särkkä, Simo}},
  booktitle    = {{21st International Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION)}},
  isbn         = {{978-0-9964527-6-2}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{IEEE - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.}},
  title        = {{Non-Linear Continuous-Discrete Smoothing by Basis Function Expansions of Brownian Motion}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.23919/ICIF.2018.8455493}},
  doi          = {{10.23919/ICIF.2018.8455493}},
  year         = {{2018}},
}