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Rapid climate driven shifts in wintering distributions of three common waterbird species

Lehikoinen, Aleksi ; Jaatinen, Kim ; Vahatalo, Anssi V. ; Clausen, Preben ; Crowe, Olivia ; Deceuninckk, Bernard ; Hearn, Richard ; Holt, Chas A. ; Hornman, Menno and Keller, Verena , et al. (2013) In Global Change Biology 19(7). p.2071-2081
Abstract
Climate change is predicted to cause changes in species distributions and several studies report margin range shifts in some species. However, the reported changes rarely concern a species' entire distribution and are not always linked to climate change. Here, we demonstrate strong north-eastwards shifts in the centres of gravity of the entire wintering range of three common waterbird species along the North-West Europe flyway during the past three decades. These shifts correlate with an increase of 3.8 degrees C in early winter temperature in the north-eastern part of the wintering areas, where bird abundance increased exponentially, corresponding with decreases in abundance at the south-western margin of the wintering ranges. This... (More)
Climate change is predicted to cause changes in species distributions and several studies report margin range shifts in some species. However, the reported changes rarely concern a species' entire distribution and are not always linked to climate change. Here, we demonstrate strong north-eastwards shifts in the centres of gravity of the entire wintering range of three common waterbird species along the North-West Europe flyway during the past three decades. These shifts correlate with an increase of 3.8 degrees C in early winter temperature in the north-eastern part of the wintering areas, where bird abundance increased exponentially, corresponding with decreases in abundance at the south-western margin of the wintering ranges. This confirms the need to re-evaluate conservation site safeguard networks and associated biodiversity monitoring along the flyway, as new important wintering areas are established further north and east, and highlights the general urgency of conservation planning in a changing world. Range shifts in wintering waterbirds may also affect hunting pressure, which may alter bag sizes and lead to population-level consequences. (Less)
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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
global warming, goldeneye, goosander, ice cover, population, distribution, tufted duck
in
Global Change Biology
volume
19
issue
7
pages
2071 - 2081
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • wos:000319963500008
  • scopus:84878658788
  • pmid:23509023
ISSN
1354-1013
DOI
10.1111/gcb.12200
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
a92388f7-2ed3-400e-b3cd-634b7e03cbdf (old id 3921036)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 10:30:56
date last changed
2022-04-20 02:50:53
@article{a92388f7-2ed3-400e-b3cd-634b7e03cbdf,
  abstract     = {{Climate change is predicted to cause changes in species distributions and several studies report margin range shifts in some species. However, the reported changes rarely concern a species' entire distribution and are not always linked to climate change. Here, we demonstrate strong north-eastwards shifts in the centres of gravity of the entire wintering range of three common waterbird species along the North-West Europe flyway during the past three decades. These shifts correlate with an increase of 3.8 degrees C in early winter temperature in the north-eastern part of the wintering areas, where bird abundance increased exponentially, corresponding with decreases in abundance at the south-western margin of the wintering ranges. This confirms the need to re-evaluate conservation site safeguard networks and associated biodiversity monitoring along the flyway, as new important wintering areas are established further north and east, and highlights the general urgency of conservation planning in a changing world. Range shifts in wintering waterbirds may also affect hunting pressure, which may alter bag sizes and lead to population-level consequences.}},
  author       = {{Lehikoinen, Aleksi and Jaatinen, Kim and Vahatalo, Anssi V. and Clausen, Preben and Crowe, Olivia and Deceuninckk, Bernard and Hearn, Richard and Holt, Chas A. and Hornman, Menno and Keller, Verena and Nilsson, Leif and Langendoen, Tom and Tomankova, Irena and Wahl, Johannes and Fox, Anthony D.}},
  issn         = {{1354-1013}},
  keywords     = {{global warming; goldeneye; goosander; ice cover; population; distribution; tufted duck}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{7}},
  pages        = {{2071--2081}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{Global Change Biology}},
  title        = {{Rapid climate driven shifts in wintering distributions of three common waterbird species}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12200}},
  doi          = {{10.1111/gcb.12200}},
  volume       = {{19}},
  year         = {{2013}},
}