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Increasing melanoma incidence and survival trend shifts with improved melanoma-specific survival between 1990 and 2020 in Sweden

Vikström, Sofi ; Mikiver, Rasmus ; Lapins, Jan ; Nielsen, Kari LU orcid ; Vassilaki, Ismini ; Lyth, Johan ; Isaksson, Karolin LU and Eriksson, Hanna (2023) In The British journal of dermatology 189(6). p.702-709
Abstract

BACKGROUND: The melanoma-specific survival (MSS) is heterogenous between stages and is highly dependent on the T stage for primary localized disease. New systemic therapies for metastatic cutaneous melanoma (CM) have been introduced since 2012 in Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse the incidence and MSS time trends between 1990 and 2020 in Sweden.

METHODS: Nationwide, population-based, and prospectively collected clinico-pathological data on invasive CM from the Swedish Melanoma Registry (SweMR) were analysed for survival trends between 1990 and 2020 by using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox Proportional Hazard ratios.

RESULTS: In total, 77 036 primary invasive CM were diagnosed in 70 511 patients in Sweden between 1990 and... (More)

BACKGROUND: The melanoma-specific survival (MSS) is heterogenous between stages and is highly dependent on the T stage for primary localized disease. New systemic therapies for metastatic cutaneous melanoma (CM) have been introduced since 2012 in Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse the incidence and MSS time trends between 1990 and 2020 in Sweden.

METHODS: Nationwide, population-based, and prospectively collected clinico-pathological data on invasive CM from the Swedish Melanoma Registry (SweMR) were analysed for survival trends between 1990 and 2020 by using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox Proportional Hazard ratios.

RESULTS: In total, 77 036 primary invasive CM were diagnosed in 70 511 patients in Sweden between 1990 and 2020. The 5-year MSS was 88.9% (88.3-89.4) 1990-2000, 89.2% 2001-2010, and 93.0% (92.7-93.9) 2011-2020. The odds ratios for being diagnosed with nodular melanomas (vs. superficial spreading melanoma) was significantly reduced by 20% (2001-2010) and by 46% (2011-2020 vs. 1990-2000). Overall, the MSS improved over both diagnostic periods (2001-2010 and 2011-2020) vs the reference period 1990-2000 among men and women, respectively, (HRmen, 2001-2010: 0.89, 95% CI 0.82-0.96; HRmen, 2011-2020: 0.62, 95% CI 0.56-0.67. HRwomen, 2001-2010: 0.82, 95% CI 0.74-0.91; HRwomen, 2011-2020: 0.62, 95% CI 0.56-0.70). The risk of CM-death was significantly lower in all age groups for both men and women in the most recent diagnostic period (2011-2020 vs. 1990-2000).

CONCLUSIONS: The results are emphasizing the improved MSS among both men and women in Sweden. The MSS improvements, specifically for the period 2011-2020, may be correlated to the introduction of new systemic therapies and are here shown for the first time in detail for Sweden.

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author
; ; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
The British journal of dermatology
volume
189
issue
6
pages
14 pages
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • scopus:85178161917
  • pmid:37463416
ISSN
1365-2133
DOI
10.1093/bjd/ljad244
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of British Association of Dermatologists.
id
affc86b1-9130-4578-8c15-389fbdd1a8b4
date added to LUP
2023-08-16 13:32:57
date last changed
2024-04-19 00:18:41
@article{affc86b1-9130-4578-8c15-389fbdd1a8b4,
  abstract     = {{<p>BACKGROUND: The melanoma-specific survival (MSS) is heterogenous between stages and is highly dependent on the T stage for primary localized disease. New systemic therapies for metastatic cutaneous melanoma (CM) have been introduced since 2012 in Sweden.</p><p>OBJECTIVES: To analyse the incidence and MSS time trends between 1990 and 2020 in Sweden.</p><p>METHODS: Nationwide, population-based, and prospectively collected clinico-pathological data on invasive CM from the Swedish Melanoma Registry (SweMR) were analysed for survival trends between 1990 and 2020 by using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox Proportional Hazard ratios.</p><p>RESULTS: In total, 77 036 primary invasive CM were diagnosed in 70 511 patients in Sweden between 1990 and 2020. The 5-year MSS was 88.9% (88.3-89.4) 1990-2000, 89.2% 2001-2010, and 93.0% (92.7-93.9) 2011-2020. The odds ratios for being diagnosed with nodular melanomas (vs. superficial spreading melanoma) was significantly reduced by 20% (2001-2010) and by 46% (2011-2020 vs. 1990-2000). Overall, the MSS improved over both diagnostic periods (2001-2010 and 2011-2020) vs the reference period 1990-2000 among men and women, respectively, (HRmen, 2001-2010: 0.89, 95% CI 0.82-0.96; HRmen, 2011-2020: 0.62, 95% CI 0.56-0.67. HRwomen, 2001-2010: 0.82, 95% CI 0.74-0.91; HRwomen, 2011-2020: 0.62, 95% CI 0.56-0.70). The risk of CM-death was significantly lower in all age groups for both men and women in the most recent diagnostic period (2011-2020 vs. 1990-2000).</p><p>CONCLUSIONS: The results are emphasizing the improved MSS among both men and women in Sweden. The MSS improvements, specifically for the period 2011-2020, may be correlated to the introduction of new systemic therapies and are here shown for the first time in detail for Sweden.</p>}},
  author       = {{Vikström, Sofi and Mikiver, Rasmus and Lapins, Jan and Nielsen, Kari and Vassilaki, Ismini and Lyth, Johan and Isaksson, Karolin and Eriksson, Hanna}},
  issn         = {{1365-2133}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{07}},
  number       = {{6}},
  pages        = {{702--709}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{The British journal of dermatology}},
  title        = {{Increasing melanoma incidence and survival trend shifts with improved melanoma-specific survival between 1990 and 2020 in Sweden}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/bjd/ljad244}},
  doi          = {{10.1093/bjd/ljad244}},
  volume       = {{189}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}