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The threat of abandonment : Images of the EU’s crises in post-Maidan Ukraine

Chaban, Natalia LU and Elgstrom, Ole LU (2024) In European Journal of International Security
Abstract

This article further theorises and develops the notion of a threat of abandonment while trying to elucidate the applicability and usefulness of this concept in the case of Ukraine in its fight against Russia since 2014. If Ukraine perceives the European Union (EU) as weakened by multiple crises, it may translate this image into a scenario of less attention to Ukraine and its problems, and – ultimately – to a threat of abandonment, of being left alone with a powerful aggressor. Theoretically, we employ a perceptual approach. We contribute to the literature on threats of abandonment, linking it to the existence of critical expectation gaps and introducing amplifying conditions that tend to result in such gaps: a broken frame of... (More)

This article further theorises and develops the notion of a threat of abandonment while trying to elucidate the applicability and usefulness of this concept in the case of Ukraine in its fight against Russia since 2014. If Ukraine perceives the European Union (EU) as weakened by multiple crises, it may translate this image into a scenario of less attention to Ukraine and its problems, and – ultimately – to a threat of abandonment, of being left alone with a powerful aggressor. Theoretically, we employ a perceptual approach. We contribute to the literature on threats of abandonment, linking it to the existence of critical expectation gaps and introducing amplifying conditions that tend to result in such gaps: a broken frame of involvement and a perceived moral injury. We also introduce a set of key factors behind a perceived risk or threat of abandonment. Empirically, we investigate how Ukrainian elites think, feel, and speak about the threat of abandonment and to what extent the two amplifying conditions were perceived to be present. Our data come from 50 in-depth interviews with Ukrainian decision makers (2016–17, C3EU Jean Monnet Network) and 53 experts’ comments published in 2022 by a Ukrainian leading social research group, Razumkov’s Centre.

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author
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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
epub
subject
keywords
critical expectation gap, perceptual approach, the EU, threat of abandonment, Ukraine
in
European Journal of International Security
publisher
Cambridge University Press
external identifiers
  • scopus:85211373256
ISSN
2057-5637
DOI
10.1017/eis.2024.49
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
b17fc156-34e3-4e07-9131-b5807831ad13
date added to LUP
2025-01-30 14:22:51
date last changed
2025-04-04 14:24:04
@article{b17fc156-34e3-4e07-9131-b5807831ad13,
  abstract     = {{<p>This article further theorises and develops the notion of a threat of abandonment while trying to elucidate the applicability and usefulness of this concept in the case of Ukraine in its fight against Russia since 2014. If Ukraine perceives the European Union (EU) as weakened by multiple crises, it may translate this image into a scenario of less attention to Ukraine and its problems, and – ultimately – to a threat of abandonment, of being left alone with a powerful aggressor. Theoretically, we employ a perceptual approach. We contribute to the literature on threats of abandonment, linking it to the existence of critical expectation gaps and introducing amplifying conditions that tend to result in such gaps: a broken frame of involvement and a perceived moral injury. We also introduce a set of key factors behind a perceived risk or threat of abandonment. Empirically, we investigate how Ukrainian elites think, feel, and speak about the threat of abandonment and to what extent the two amplifying conditions were perceived to be present. Our data come from 50 in-depth interviews with Ukrainian decision makers (2016–17, C3EU Jean Monnet Network) and 53 experts’ comments published in 2022 by a Ukrainian leading social research group, Razumkov’s Centre.</p>}},
  author       = {{Chaban, Natalia and Elgstrom, Ole}},
  issn         = {{2057-5637}},
  keywords     = {{critical expectation gap; perceptual approach; the EU; threat of abandonment; Ukraine}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Cambridge University Press}},
  series       = {{European Journal of International Security}},
  title        = {{The threat of abandonment : Images of the EU’s crises in post-Maidan Ukraine}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/eis.2024.49}},
  doi          = {{10.1017/eis.2024.49}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}