Causality Between Energy and Output in the Long-Run
Enflo, Kerstin LU
and Stern, David
(2013)
In Energy Economics
39.
p.135-146
- Abstract
- Though there is a very large literature examining whether energy use Granger causes economic output or vice versa, it is fairly inconclusive. Almost all existing studies use relatively short time series, or panels with a relatively small time dimension. We apply Granger causality and cointegration techniques to a Swedish time series dataset spanning 150 years to test whether increases in energy use and energy quality have driven economic growth or vice versa. We show that these techniques are very sensitive to variable definition, choice of additional variables in the model, sample periods and size, and the introduction of structural breaks. The relationship between energy and growth may also have changed over time - energy causes output... (More)
- Though there is a very large literature examining whether energy use Granger causes economic output or vice versa, it is fairly inconclusive. Almost all existing studies use relatively short time series, or panels with a relatively small time dimension. We apply Granger causality and cointegration techniques to a Swedish time series dataset spanning 150 years to test whether increases in energy use and energy quality have driven economic growth or vice versa. We show that these techniques are very sensitive to variable definition, choice of additional variables in the model, sample periods and size, and the introduction of structural breaks. The relationship between energy and growth may also have changed over time - energy causes output in the full sample while output causes energy use in recent smaller samples. Energy prices have a more robust causal impact on both energy use and output. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/3795224
- author
- Enflo, Kerstin
LU
and Stern, David
- organization
- publishing date
- 2013
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Energy, macroeconomics, Granger causality, cointegration, Sweden
- in
- Energy Economics
- volume
- 39
- pages
- 135 - 146
- publisher
- Elsevier
- external identifiers
-
- wos:000323015300013
- scopus:84878944640
- ISSN
- 0140-9883
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.05.007
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- b90c0dfd-05b7-4a2f-9a22-78d737f5625e (old id 3795224)
- alternative location
- http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988313000935
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 09:59:15
- date last changed
- 2022-04-12 00:52:42
@article{b90c0dfd-05b7-4a2f-9a22-78d737f5625e,
abstract = {{Though there is a very large literature examining whether energy use Granger causes economic output or vice versa, it is fairly inconclusive. Almost all existing studies use relatively short time series, or panels with a relatively small time dimension. We apply Granger causality and cointegration techniques to a Swedish time series dataset spanning 150 years to test whether increases in energy use and energy quality have driven economic growth or vice versa. We show that these techniques are very sensitive to variable definition, choice of additional variables in the model, sample periods and size, and the introduction of structural breaks. The relationship between energy and growth may also have changed over time - energy causes output in the full sample while output causes energy use in recent smaller samples. Energy prices have a more robust causal impact on both energy use and output.}},
author = {{Enflo, Kerstin and Stern, David}},
issn = {{0140-9883}},
keywords = {{Energy; macroeconomics; Granger causality; cointegration; Sweden}},
language = {{eng}},
pages = {{135--146}},
publisher = {{Elsevier}},
series = {{Energy Economics}},
title = {{Causality Between Energy and Output in the Long-Run}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2013.05.007}},
doi = {{10.1016/j.eneco.2013.05.007}},
volume = {{39}},
year = {{2013}},
}