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Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique

Neves, José Lourenço ; Sellick, Tanja Katharina LU ; Hasan, Abdulghani LU orcid and Pilesjö, Petter LU (2023) In African Geographical Review 42(5). p.539-559
Abstract

Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km2 (13.7%), 44.8 km2 (12.2%), and 39.0 km2 (10.6%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km2 (11.8%), 31.8 km2 (8.6%), and 28.9 km2 (7.8%), respectively. In 2000, 61,978.4 inhabitants were exposed to medium-risk and 53,036.8 to high-risk. In 2020, 130,628.3 inhabitants were vulnerable to medium-risk and 92,722.8 to high-risk. By 2040, 203,999.8 inhabitants will face medium-risk and 151,169.1 high-flood-risk.

Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Flood hazard, flood risk, matola
in
African Geographical Review
volume
42
issue
5
pages
539 - 559
publisher
Taylor & Francis
external identifiers
  • scopus:85131009754
ISSN
1937-6812
DOI
10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
ba84e58f-7442-4b81-b743-e18b1d5a95fb
date added to LUP
2023-02-08 13:56:15
date last changed
2024-05-27 14:32:19
@article{ba84e58f-7442-4b81-b743-e18b1d5a95fb,
  abstract     = {{<p>Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km<sup>2</sup> (13.7%), 44.8 km<sup>2</sup> (12.2%), and 39.0 km<sup>2</sup> (10.6%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km<sup>2</sup> (11.8%), 31.8 km<sup>2</sup> (8.6%), and 28.9 km<sup>2</sup> (7.8%), respectively. In 2000, 61,978.4 inhabitants were exposed to medium-risk and 53,036.8 to high-risk. In 2020, 130,628.3 inhabitants were vulnerable to medium-risk and 92,722.8 to high-risk. By 2040, 203,999.8 inhabitants will face medium-risk and 151,169.1 high-flood-risk.</p>}},
  author       = {{Neves, José Lourenço and Sellick, Tanja Katharina and Hasan, Abdulghani and Pilesjö, Petter}},
  issn         = {{1937-6812}},
  keywords     = {{Flood hazard; flood risk; matola}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{539--559}},
  publisher    = {{Taylor & Francis}},
  series       = {{African Geographical Review}},
  title        = {{Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133}},
  doi          = {{10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133}},
  volume       = {{42}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}