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Bricks without straw: Using linked census data to estimate child mortality in the pre-registration era of the United States

Hacker, J David and Helgertz, Jonas LU (2025) In Historical Methods
Abstract
We describe a method to estimate child mortality using linked IPUMS full-count census data for the decades following the 1850, 1860, 1870, 1900, 1910, 1920, and 1930 censuses. We compare the estimates to several external sources and conclude that the method represents a viable way to estimate and model child mortality at individual and aggregate levels over the course of the mortality transition. We demonstrate an example use of the method by mapping county-level mortality estimates for the 1910–1920 period. Finally, with the help of model life tables, we construct complete life tables by race and decade at seven levels of geography—urban/rural, city, county, state economic area, state, census division and nation—and make these data... (More)
We describe a method to estimate child mortality using linked IPUMS full-count census data for the decades following the 1850, 1860, 1870, 1900, 1910, 1920, and 1930 censuses. We compare the estimates to several external sources and conclude that the method represents a viable way to estimate and model child mortality at individual and aggregate levels over the course of the mortality transition. We demonstrate an example use of the method by mapping county-level mortality estimates for the 1910–1920 period. Finally, with the help of model life tables, we construct complete life tables by race and decade at seven levels of geography—urban/rural, city, county, state economic area, state, census division and nation—and make these data available for public use. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
epub
subject
keywords
IPUMS, census, child mortality, historical demography
in
Historical Methods
publisher
Taylor & Francis
ISSN
0161-5440
DOI
10.1080/01615440.2025.2562008
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
bb7fa03d-992d-4f6b-a0e5-c1f884d4f805
date added to LUP
2025-10-23 13:02:12
date last changed
2025-10-23 13:26:03
@article{bb7fa03d-992d-4f6b-a0e5-c1f884d4f805,
  abstract     = {{We describe a method to estimate child mortality using linked IPUMS full-count census data for the decades following the 1850, 1860, 1870, 1900, 1910, 1920, and 1930 censuses. We compare the estimates to several external sources and conclude that the method represents a viable way to estimate and model child mortality at individual and aggregate levels over the course of the mortality transition. We demonstrate an example use of the method by mapping county-level mortality estimates for the 1910–1920 period. Finally, with the help of model life tables, we construct complete life tables by race and decade at seven levels of geography—urban/rural, city, county, state economic area, state, census division and nation—and make these data available for public use.}},
  author       = {{Hacker, J David and Helgertz, Jonas}},
  issn         = {{0161-5440}},
  keywords     = {{IPUMS; census; child mortality; historical demography}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{10}},
  publisher    = {{Taylor & Francis}},
  series       = {{Historical Methods}},
  title        = {{Bricks without straw: Using linked census data to estimate child mortality in the pre-registration era of the United States}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01615440.2025.2562008}},
  doi          = {{10.1080/01615440.2025.2562008}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}