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Swedish conditions? Characteristics of locations the Swedish Police label as vulnerable

Gerell, Manne ; Puur, Mia and Guldåker, Nicklas LU (2022) In Nordic Journal of Urban Studies 2(1). p.40-62
Abstract
Deprived neighborhoods in Sweden in which criminal networks have a negative impact on local residents are labeled as “vulnerable neighborhoods” by the police. The method used by the police to classify such neighborhoods is largely based on perceptions, which raises issues of subjectivity and potential biases. The present study explores the characteristics of such neighborhoods based on registry data on socio-demographics and crime. The study employs data in the form of a grid of 250 x 250 meter vector grids (N=116,660) with data on population, foreign background, employment, age characteristics, household type, and eight types of crime. Generalized mixed-effects models of vector grids nested in municipalities were fitted to analyze the... (More)
Deprived neighborhoods in Sweden in which criminal networks have a negative impact on local residents are labeled as “vulnerable neighborhoods” by the police. The method used by the police to classify such neighborhoods is largely based on perceptions, which raises issues of subjectivity and potential biases. The present study explores the characteristics of such neighborhoods based on registry data on socio-demographics and crime. The study employs data in the form of a grid of 250 x 250 meter vector grids (N=116,660) with data on population, foreign background, employment, age characteristics, household type, and eight types of crime. Generalized mixed-effects models of vector grids nested in municipalities were fitted to analyze the characteristics of vector grids classified as vulnerable (N=1678). Several variables are significantly associated with a vector grid being classified as vulnerable, with the proportion of the population that is foreign born, and the proportion with foreign-born parents, being the strongest predictors. In addition, we consider whether there are systematic differences between municipalities and develop a model based on regression coefficients to predict whether a vector grid is vulnerable. The model reclassifies 39.8 percent of the vector grids, identifying locations that statistically resemble vulnerable neighborhoods but are not classified as such, and vice versa. (Less)
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author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
vulnerable neighborhood, Swedish conditions, deprived neighborhood, crime, policing
in
Nordic Journal of Urban Studies
volume
2
issue
1
pages
23 pages
publisher
Universitetsforlaget
ISSN
2703-8866
DOI
10.18261/njus.2.1.3
project
Developed crisis preparedness to lead, communicate and coordinate place-based measures against system-threatening crime
Strategic GIS-based maps for collaboration and decisions on measures to counter to counteract organized crime, social unrest, antagonistic threats and events of significance to the total defense
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
c8854394-8be4-4174-97a3-e5a2abb019fd
date added to LUP
2022-07-01 09:12:39
date last changed
2022-07-12 10:36:25
@article{c8854394-8be4-4174-97a3-e5a2abb019fd,
  abstract     = {{Deprived neighborhoods in Sweden in which criminal networks have a negative impact on local residents are labeled as “vulnerable neighborhoods” by the police. The method used by the police to classify such neighborhoods is largely based on perceptions, which raises issues of subjectivity and potential biases. The present study explores the characteristics of such neighborhoods based on registry data on socio-demographics and crime. The study employs data in the form of a grid of 250 x 250 meter vector grids (N=116,660) with data on population, foreign background, employment, age characteristics, household type, and eight types of crime. Generalized mixed-effects models of vector grids nested in municipalities were fitted to analyze the characteristics of vector grids classified as vulnerable (N=1678). Several variables are significantly associated with a vector grid being classified as vulnerable, with the proportion of the population that is foreign born, and the proportion with foreign-born parents, being the strongest predictors. In addition, we consider whether there are systematic differences between municipalities and develop a model based on regression coefficients to predict whether a vector grid is vulnerable. The model reclassifies 39.8 percent of the vector grids, identifying locations that statistically resemble vulnerable neighborhoods but are not classified as such, and vice versa.}},
  author       = {{Gerell, Manne and Puur, Mia and Guldåker, Nicklas}},
  issn         = {{2703-8866}},
  keywords     = {{vulnerable neighborhood; Swedish conditions; deprived neighborhood; crime; policing}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{06}},
  number       = {{1}},
  pages        = {{40--62}},
  publisher    = {{Universitetsforlaget}},
  series       = {{Nordic Journal of Urban Studies}},
  title        = {{Swedish conditions? Characteristics of locations the Swedish Police label as vulnerable}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.18261/njus.2.1.3}},
  doi          = {{10.18261/njus.2.1.3}},
  volume       = {{2}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}