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Climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing in California

Guégan, Marion ; Madani, Kaveh LU and Uvo, Cintia B. LU (2011) World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2011: Bearing Knowledge for Sustainability p.1298-1307
Abstract

High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California's high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using... (More)

High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California's high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. California's Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) is then applied to estimate the adaptability of California's high-elevation hydropower system to climate warming considering simultaneous changes in supply, demand and pricing. The model is run for dry and wet warming scenarios, representing a range of hydrological changes under climate change.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
keywords
California, Climate change, Hydro power, Pricing
host publication
World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2011 : Bearing Knowledge for Sustainability - Proceedings of the 2011 World Environmental and Water Resources Congress - Bearing Knowledge for Sustainability - Proceedings of the 2011 World Environmental and Water Resources Congress
pages
10 pages
conference name
World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2011: Bearing Knowledge for Sustainability
conference location
Palm Springs, CA, United States
conference dates
2011-05-22 - 2011-05-26
external identifiers
  • scopus:79960432513
ISBN
9780784411735
DOI
10.1061/41173(414)135
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
c9a7f8a6-bc5f-4d89-8829-c0b36e75c70b
date added to LUP
2018-10-23 10:37:00
date last changed
2020-01-16 03:34:59
@inproceedings{c9a7f8a6-bc5f-4d89-8829-c0b36e75c70b,
  abstract     = {<p>High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California's high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. California's Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) is then applied to estimate the adaptability of California's high-elevation hydropower system to climate warming considering simultaneous changes in supply, demand and pricing. The model is run for dry and wet warming scenarios, representing a range of hydrological changes under climate change.</p>},
  author       = {Guégan, Marion and Madani, Kaveh and Uvo, Cintia B.},
  booktitle    = {World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2011 : Bearing Knowledge for Sustainability - Proceedings of the 2011 World Environmental and Water Resources Congress},
  isbn         = {9780784411735},
  language     = {eng},
  month        = {07},
  pages        = {1298--1307},
  title        = {Climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing in California},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/41173(414)135},
  doi          = {10.1061/41173(414)135},
  year         = {2011},
}