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Subsidizing contraception : Effects on contraceptive coverage, abortions, and births

Rosenberg, Sarah LU (2026) In Journal of Health Economics 106.
Abstract

Expanding health insurance can either increase or decrease pregnancies and births, depending on how it affects access to contraception and the financial costs of childbearing. I study the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion using difference-in-differences models and state-level data on contraceptive provision, births, and abortions, synthesizing analysis of these outcomes to distinguish the role of subsidized contraception. The expansion led to a substantial increase in contraceptive provision, particularly for short-acting hormonal methods. Teen birth rates fell significantly by 5%, a reduction that owes to increased parental eligibility, while effects on overall birth rates are not distinguishable from zero. Estimated effects on... (More)

Expanding health insurance can either increase or decrease pregnancies and births, depending on how it affects access to contraception and the financial costs of childbearing. I study the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion using difference-in-differences models and state-level data on contraceptive provision, births, and abortions, synthesizing analysis of these outcomes to distinguish the role of subsidized contraception. The expansion led to a substantial increase in contraceptive provision, particularly for short-acting hormonal methods. Teen birth rates fell significantly by 5%, a reduction that owes to increased parental eligibility, while effects on overall birth rates are not distinguishable from zero. Estimated effects on abortion are imprecise but suggestive of reductions for teens. Simulations based on contraceptive provision imply that subsidized contraception led to reductions in the pregnancy and birth rate of approximately 1% to 2%. These findings indicate that Medicaid’s contraceptive subsidies modestly reduced pregnancies, abortions, and births, but also suggest that financial barriers to reproductive health care are not a primary driver of fertility behavior overall.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Contraception, Fertility, Public health insurance, I13, J13
in
Journal of Health Economics
volume
106
article number
103112
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • pmid:41702345
  • scopus:105030212423
ISSN
0167-6296
DOI
10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103112
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2026 The Author.
id
ce0cb00d-626a-41c4-a085-8fd1db5ed151
date added to LUP
2026-03-24 14:45:23
date last changed
2026-09-10 11:32:07
@article{ce0cb00d-626a-41c4-a085-8fd1db5ed151,
  abstract     = {{<p>Expanding health insurance can either increase or decrease pregnancies and births, depending on how it affects access to contraception and the financial costs of childbearing. I study the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion using difference-in-differences models and state-level data on contraceptive provision, births, and abortions, synthesizing analysis of these outcomes to distinguish the role of subsidized contraception. The expansion led to a substantial increase in contraceptive provision, particularly for short-acting hormonal methods. Teen birth rates fell significantly by 5%, a reduction that owes to increased parental eligibility, while effects on overall birth rates are not distinguishable from zero. Estimated effects on abortion are imprecise but suggestive of reductions for teens. Simulations based on contraceptive provision imply that subsidized contraception led to reductions in the pregnancy and birth rate of approximately 1% to 2%. These findings indicate that Medicaid’s contraceptive subsidies modestly reduced pregnancies, abortions, and births, but also suggest that financial barriers to reproductive health care are not a primary driver of fertility behavior overall.</p>}},
  author       = {{Rosenberg, Sarah}},
  issn         = {{0167-6296}},
  keywords     = {{Contraception; Fertility; Public health insurance; I13; J13}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Journal of Health Economics}},
  title        = {{Subsidizing contraception : Effects on contraceptive coverage, abortions, and births}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103112}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.jhealeco.2026.103112}},
  volume       = {{106}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}