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Approximate maximum likelihood estimation using data-cloning ABC

Picchini, Umberto LU and Anderson, Rachele LU orcid (2017) In Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 105. p.166-183
Abstract
A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC sampler with so-called "data cloning" for maximum likelihood estimation. Accuracy of ABC methods relies on the use of a small threshold value for comparing simulations from the model and observed data. The proposed methodology shows how to use large threshold values, while the number of data-clones is increased to ease convergence towards an approximate maximum likelihood estimate. We show how to exploit the methodology to reduce the number of iterations of a standard ABC-MCMC algorithm and therefore reduce... (More)
A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC sampler with so-called "data cloning" for maximum likelihood estimation. Accuracy of ABC methods relies on the use of a small threshold value for comparing simulations from the model and observed data. The proposed methodology shows how to use large threshold values, while the number of data-clones is increased to ease convergence towards an approximate maximum likelihood estimate. We show how to exploit the methodology to reduce the number of iterations of a standard ABC-MCMC algorithm and therefore reduce the computational effort, while obtaining reasonable point estimates. Simulation studies show the good performance of our approach on models with intractable likelihoods such as g-and-k distributions, stochastic differential equations and state-space models. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Approximate Bayesian computation, Intractable likelihood, MCMC, State-space model, Stochastic differential equation
in
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
volume
105
pages
18 pages
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:84986575881
  • wos:000385604500012
ISSN
0167-9473
DOI
10.1016/j.csda.2016.08.006
project
Stochastic modelling of protein folding and likelihood-free statistical inference methods
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
d367ad5c-a1ff-4d12-ad3c-f3796b135bdc (old id 8410635)
alternative location
http://arxiv.org/abs/1505.06318
date added to LUP
2016-04-04 14:19:24
date last changed
2022-02-21 20:18:44
@article{d367ad5c-a1ff-4d12-ad3c-f3796b135bdc,
  abstract     = {{A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC sampler with so-called "data cloning" for maximum likelihood estimation. Accuracy of ABC methods relies on the use of a small threshold value for comparing simulations from the model and observed data. The proposed methodology shows how to use large threshold values, while the number of data-clones is increased to ease convergence towards an approximate maximum likelihood estimate. We show how to exploit the methodology to reduce the number of iterations of a standard ABC-MCMC algorithm and therefore reduce the computational effort, while obtaining reasonable point estimates. Simulation studies show the good performance of our approach on models with intractable likelihoods such as g-and-k distributions, stochastic differential equations and state-space models.}},
  author       = {{Picchini, Umberto and Anderson, Rachele}},
  issn         = {{0167-9473}},
  keywords     = {{Approximate Bayesian computation; Intractable likelihood; MCMC; State-space model; Stochastic differential equation}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{166--183}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Computational Statistics & Data Analysis}},
  title        = {{Approximate maximum likelihood estimation using data-cloning ABC}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2016.08.006}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.csda.2016.08.006}},
  volume       = {{105}},
  year         = {{2017}},
}