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The benefit of being wrong : How prediction error size guides the reshaping of episodic memories

Boeltzig, Marius LU orcid ; Liedtke, Nina ; Siestrup, Sophie ; Mecklenbrauck, Falko ; Wurm, Moritz F ; Bramão, Inês and Schubotz, Ricarda I (2025) In NeuroImage 317.
Abstract

Episodic memories are not static - they shift and reshape as our surroundings evolve. One powerful mechanism for change are prediction errors, which arise when predictions about what is going to happen next do not match the actual input. This study investigated how the size of prediction errors - arising from predictions based on episodic memories - affects recognition memory and neural memory representations. In an fMRI experiment, participants listened to a series of naturalistic dialogues. In a later session, a critical segment of the dialogue was altered to introduce a mismatch and thus evoke a prediction error. Importantly, larger prediction errors were linked to increased recognition memory for the original and mismatching... (More)

Episodic memories are not static - they shift and reshape as our surroundings evolve. One powerful mechanism for change are prediction errors, which arise when predictions about what is going to happen next do not match the actual input. This study investigated how the size of prediction errors - arising from predictions based on episodic memories - affects recognition memory and neural memory representations. In an fMRI experiment, participants listened to a series of naturalistic dialogues. In a later session, a critical segment of the dialogue was altered to introduce a mismatch and thus evoke a prediction error. Importantly, larger prediction errors were linked to increased recognition memory for the original and mismatching targets, and better source memory for the mismatching targets. Representational similarity analysis revealed that larger prediction errors were also associated with stronger reinstatement of the original version during mismatching (unpredicted) input, which promoted memory for both the old and the new version. Additionally, larger prediction errors enhanced the long-term representational stability of the original memory. We argue that these results support the idea that stronger episodic prediction errors lead to a more distinct encoding of new information, which benefits the recognition of both old and new information. This could be achieved by a pattern completion mechanism in which old information is reinstated during mismatching new input.

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author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Humans, Memory, Episodic, Male, Female, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Young Adult, Adult, Recognition, Psychology/physiology, Mental Recall/physiology, Brain/physiology, Brain Mapping
in
NeuroImage
volume
317
article number
121375
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:105010867466
  • pmid:40675423
ISSN
1095-9572
DOI
10.1016/j.neuroimage.2025.121375
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Copyright © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
id
d4406bc4-04c4-425b-bfb9-601954793c46
date added to LUP
2025-08-11 09:33:41
date last changed
2025-08-15 03:37:10
@article{d4406bc4-04c4-425b-bfb9-601954793c46,
  abstract     = {{<p>Episodic memories are not static - they shift and reshape as our surroundings evolve. One powerful mechanism for change are prediction errors, which arise when predictions about what is going to happen next do not match the actual input. This study investigated how the size of prediction errors - arising from predictions based on episodic memories - affects recognition memory and neural memory representations. In an fMRI experiment, participants listened to a series of naturalistic dialogues. In a later session, a critical segment of the dialogue was altered to introduce a mismatch and thus evoke a prediction error. Importantly, larger prediction errors were linked to increased recognition memory for the original and mismatching targets, and better source memory for the mismatching targets. Representational similarity analysis revealed that larger prediction errors were also associated with stronger reinstatement of the original version during mismatching (unpredicted) input, which promoted memory for both the old and the new version. Additionally, larger prediction errors enhanced the long-term representational stability of the original memory. We argue that these results support the idea that stronger episodic prediction errors lead to a more distinct encoding of new information, which benefits the recognition of both old and new information. This could be achieved by a pattern completion mechanism in which old information is reinstated during mismatching new input.</p>}},
  author       = {{Boeltzig, Marius and Liedtke, Nina and Siestrup, Sophie and Mecklenbrauck, Falko and Wurm, Moritz F and Bramão, Inês and Schubotz, Ricarda I}},
  issn         = {{1095-9572}},
  keywords     = {{Humans; Memory, Episodic; Male; Female; Magnetic Resonance Imaging; Young Adult; Adult; Recognition, Psychology/physiology; Mental Recall/physiology; Brain/physiology; Brain Mapping}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{08}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{NeuroImage}},
  title        = {{The benefit of being wrong : How prediction error size guides the reshaping of episodic memories}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neuroimage.2025.121375}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.neuroimage.2025.121375}},
  volume       = {{317}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}