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Landscape changes over 30 years of intense economic activity in the upper Paraná River basin

Rudke, A. P. ; Xavier, A. C.F. ; Martins, L. D. LU ; Freitas, E. D. ; Uvo, C. B. LU orcid ; Hallak, R. ; Souza, R. A.F. ; Andreoli, R. V. ; de Almeida Albuquerque, T. T. and Martins, J. A. LU (2022) In Ecological Informatics 72.
Abstract

In this study, we show the complexity associated with the recent land cover changes by elucidating the paths of 30 years of changes in the Upper Paraná River Basin (UPRB), a region severely impacted by agricultural activity, one of the areas with the highest density in the production of hydroelectricity, biofuels and food in the world. In this sense, a post-classification comparison approach based on Landsat images was used to identify detailed ‘from-to’ paths behind those land cover changes. The most expressive changes were the expansion of Cropland and Forest areas and the reduction in savannas, with a net change of 17.9%, 4.1%, and −16.9% of the UPRB area, respectively. Cropland areas showed an expressive increase between 1985 and... (More)

In this study, we show the complexity associated with the recent land cover changes by elucidating the paths of 30 years of changes in the Upper Paraná River Basin (UPRB), a region severely impacted by agricultural activity, one of the areas with the highest density in the production of hydroelectricity, biofuels and food in the world. In this sense, a post-classification comparison approach based on Landsat images was used to identify detailed ‘from-to’ paths behind those land cover changes. The most expressive changes were the expansion of Cropland and Forest areas and the reduction in savannas, with a net change of 17.9%, 4.1%, and −16.9% of the UPRB area, respectively. Cropland areas showed an expressive increase between 1985 and 2015, rising from 249,439 km2 (27.7%) to 412,909 km2 (45.9%). Forest areas increased from 149,389 km2 to 185,839 km2 in the period. Notably, for this class, an intense spatial dynamic of losses (7.5%) and gains (11.6%) took place between 1985 and 2015. This behavior is related to the disappearance of native vegetation fragments in some sub-basins, as well as to afforestation, reforestation, and/or forest restoration in others. The Cerrado (a typical tropical savanna in South America), the most impacted natural biome of the Basin, decreased from 21.9% of the UPRB in 1985 (196,746 km2) to only about 5% of the whole UPRB area in 2015. Grassland areas, mostly used for livestock, decreased from 271,827 km2 (30.2%) to 229,007 km2 (25.5%). This net decrease was associated with a reduction of 160,830 km2 (17.8%) and the appearance of 118,010 km2 (13.2%) in new areas, previously occupied by tropical savannas in 1985. In conclusion, economic factors were the main drivers for land cover changes, especially agriculture and livestock activities, besides forestry and hydroelectric energy production. In addition, Grassland areas that predominated on the left banks of the UPRB in 1985 retreated with the advance of Cropland areas, mainly due to the expansion of sugarcane for ethanol production, a biofuel widely used in Brazil. In turn, pasture areas migrated to the right bank and occupied a significant part of the Cerrado. Finally, our results demonstrate that the transition dynamics among land cover classes can involve complex political-economical mechanisms that are not always captured by remote sensing.

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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Atlantic forest, Cerrado, Croplands, Land use and cover change, Landsat, Pasture
in
Ecological Informatics
volume
72
article number
101882
pages
14 pages
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85140916508
ISSN
1574-9541
DOI
10.1016/j.ecoinf.2022.101882
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Funding Information: This study was financed in part by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - Brasil (CAPES, Office for the Advancement of Higher Education) and Agência Nacional de Águas (ANA, National Water Agency) - Call CAPES/ANA 19/2015, Finance Code 23038.003963/2016-17, Grant number 2782/2015, process N° 88887.115875/2015-01. Publisher Copyright: © 2022 Elsevier B.V.
id
e12f0ead-e53c-4f30-890e-2fe76eb23df1
date added to LUP
2022-11-14 08:13:36
date last changed
2024-03-19 14:36:03
@article{e12f0ead-e53c-4f30-890e-2fe76eb23df1,
  abstract     = {{<p>In this study, we show the complexity associated with the recent land cover changes by elucidating the paths of 30 years of changes in the Upper Paraná River Basin (UPRB), a region severely impacted by agricultural activity, one of the areas with the highest density in the production of hydroelectricity, biofuels and food in the world. In this sense, a post-classification comparison approach based on Landsat images was used to identify detailed ‘from-to’ paths behind those land cover changes. The most expressive changes were the expansion of Cropland and Forest areas and the reduction in savannas, with a net change of 17.9%, 4.1%, and −16.9% of the UPRB area, respectively. Cropland areas showed an expressive increase between 1985 and 2015, rising from 249,439 km<sup>2</sup> (27.7%) to 412,909 km<sup>2</sup> (45.9%). Forest areas increased from 149,389 km<sup>2</sup> to 185,839 km<sup>2</sup> in the period. Notably, for this class, an intense spatial dynamic of losses (7.5%) and gains (11.6%) took place between 1985 and 2015. This behavior is related to the disappearance of native vegetation fragments in some sub-basins, as well as to afforestation, reforestation, and/or forest restoration in others. The Cerrado (a typical tropical savanna in South America), the most impacted natural biome of the Basin, decreased from 21.9% of the UPRB in 1985 (196,746 km<sup>2</sup>) to only about 5% of the whole UPRB area in 2015. Grassland areas, mostly used for livestock, decreased from 271,827 km<sup>2</sup> (30.2%) to 229,007 km<sup>2</sup> (25.5%). This net decrease was associated with a reduction of 160,830 km<sup>2</sup> (17.8%) and the appearance of 118,010 km<sup>2</sup> (13.2%) in new areas, previously occupied by tropical savannas in 1985. In conclusion, economic factors were the main drivers for land cover changes, especially agriculture and livestock activities, besides forestry and hydroelectric energy production. In addition, Grassland areas that predominated on the left banks of the UPRB in 1985 retreated with the advance of Cropland areas, mainly due to the expansion of sugarcane for ethanol production, a biofuel widely used in Brazil. In turn, pasture areas migrated to the right bank and occupied a significant part of the Cerrado. Finally, our results demonstrate that the transition dynamics among land cover classes can involve complex political-economical mechanisms that are not always captured by remote sensing.</p>}},
  author       = {{Rudke, A. P. and Xavier, A. C.F. and Martins, L. D. and Freitas, E. D. and Uvo, C. B. and Hallak, R. and Souza, R. A.F. and Andreoli, R. V. and de Almeida Albuquerque, T. T. and Martins, J. A.}},
  issn         = {{1574-9541}},
  keywords     = {{Atlantic forest; Cerrado; Croplands; Land use and cover change; Landsat; Pasture}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Ecological Informatics}},
  title        = {{Landscape changes over 30 years of intense economic activity in the upper Paraná River basin}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2022.101882}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.ecoinf.2022.101882}},
  volume       = {{72}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}