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Policy implications of energy-water-carbon emissions nexus based on national policies in China

Du, Shixiong ; Liang, Changmei ; Sun, Huaiwei ; Deng, Xiaoya ; Xue, Jie ; Chen, Fulong ; Xiao, Wu ; Zhou, Haiyan ; Meng, Changqing and You, Zhiwen , et al. (2025) In Energy 339.
Abstract

To address the absence of the comprehensive analysis of energy-water-carbon emissions nexus between large-scale economies and different industries and the inability to predict policy impacts across industrial hierarchies, this study develops a novel framework integrating environmentally-extended multi-regional input-output analysis with structural decomposition analysis and policy-driven scenario forecasting. Based on the multi-regional input-output tables from the Carbon Emission Accounts and Datasets and provincial energy-water-carbon emissions data from Chinese bulletins, the study systematically researches spatial-temporal analysis of virtual energy-water-carbon emissions footprint, identification of key drivers, and policy impact... (More)

To address the absence of the comprehensive analysis of energy-water-carbon emissions nexus between large-scale economies and different industries and the inability to predict policy impacts across industrial hierarchies, this study develops a novel framework integrating environmentally-extended multi-regional input-output analysis with structural decomposition analysis and policy-driven scenario forecasting. Based on the multi-regional input-output tables from the Carbon Emission Accounts and Datasets and provincial energy-water-carbon emissions data from Chinese bulletins, the study systematically researches spatial-temporal analysis of virtual energy-water-carbon emissions footprint, identification of key drivers, and policy impact projections based on China's carbon peaking and water conservation targets. Key findings reveal: (1) There are strong provincial energy-water-carbon emissions nexus correlations in China (minimum nexus coefficient >0.6), with underdeveloped regions exhibiting lower resource efficiency; (2) Existing energy policies have significantly transferred energy pressure. Resource intensity and production structure are found to significantly influence the evolution of energy-water-carbon emissions nexus characteristics; (3) Scenario projections indicate 51.3 %, 7.3 %, and 32.9 % reductions in energy, water, and carbon coefficients by 2030, though renewable transitions may increase regional water stress. The framework advances energy-water-carbon emissions nexus analysis and provides actionable insights for differentiated regional policies, which offers a replicable model for sustainable transition planning in emerging economies.

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publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Driving factors, Energy-water-carbon emissions nexus, National policies, Sustainable development goals, Virtual footprint
in
Energy
volume
339
article number
138950
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:105019528328
ISSN
0360-5442
DOI
10.1016/j.energy.2025.138950
language
English
LU publication?
no
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2025 Elsevier Ltd
id
ef6d996b-a837-42e1-a9b8-a41f4a88e7f8
date added to LUP
2026-01-01 01:56:07
date last changed
2026-01-08 03:34:22
@article{ef6d996b-a837-42e1-a9b8-a41f4a88e7f8,
  abstract     = {{<p>To address the absence of the comprehensive analysis of energy-water-carbon emissions nexus between large-scale economies and different industries and the inability to predict policy impacts across industrial hierarchies, this study develops a novel framework integrating environmentally-extended multi-regional input-output analysis with structural decomposition analysis and policy-driven scenario forecasting. Based on the multi-regional input-output tables from the Carbon Emission Accounts and Datasets and provincial energy-water-carbon emissions data from Chinese bulletins, the study systematically researches spatial-temporal analysis of virtual energy-water-carbon emissions footprint, identification of key drivers, and policy impact projections based on China's carbon peaking and water conservation targets. Key findings reveal: (1) There are strong provincial energy-water-carbon emissions nexus correlations in China (minimum nexus coefficient &gt;0.6), with underdeveloped regions exhibiting lower resource efficiency; (2) Existing energy policies have significantly transferred energy pressure. Resource intensity and production structure are found to significantly influence the evolution of energy-water-carbon emissions nexus characteristics; (3) Scenario projections indicate 51.3 %, 7.3 %, and 32.9 % reductions in energy, water, and carbon coefficients by 2030, though renewable transitions may increase regional water stress. The framework advances energy-water-carbon emissions nexus analysis and provides actionable insights for differentiated regional policies, which offers a replicable model for sustainable transition planning in emerging economies.</p>}},
  author       = {{Du, Shixiong and Liang, Changmei and Sun, Huaiwei and Deng, Xiaoya and Xue, Jie and Chen, Fulong and Xiao, Wu and Zhou, Haiyan and Meng, Changqing and You, Zhiwen and Zhang, Wenxin}},
  issn         = {{0360-5442}},
  keywords     = {{Driving factors; Energy-water-carbon emissions nexus; National policies; Sustainable development goals; Virtual footprint}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{12}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Energy}},
  title        = {{Policy implications of energy-water-carbon emissions nexus based on national policies in China}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2025.138950}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.energy.2025.138950}},
  volume       = {{339}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}