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Clarifying and strengthening the role of law and governance in climate scenario frameworks

Triyanti, Annisa ; Du, Haomiao ; Hegger, Dries L.T. ; Driessen, Peter P.J. ; van Rijswick, Helena F.M.W. ; Scown, Murray LU and Gilissen, Herman Kasper (2023) In Earth System Governance 18.
Abstract

Shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) and shared policy assumptions (SPAs) are lauded as a common basis for climate scenario research across disciplines, yet they lack essential legal and governance elements that are indispensable when assessing future development pathways. This article sets out to address this shortcoming by explaining the interrelated but distinct features of law and governance and their downplayed roles in climate scenario research. We explore the extent to which legal and govsternance features are included in the current SSP and SPA development process and then suggest that the substance of legal and governance features in climate scenario frameworks could be enriched in four ways, by: 1) identifying the nuances of... (More)

Shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) and shared policy assumptions (SPAs) are lauded as a common basis for climate scenario research across disciplines, yet they lack essential legal and governance elements that are indispensable when assessing future development pathways. This article sets out to address this shortcoming by explaining the interrelated but distinct features of law and governance and their downplayed roles in climate scenario research. We explore the extent to which legal and govsternance features are included in the current SSP and SPA development process and then suggest that the substance of legal and governance features in climate scenario frameworks could be enriched in four ways, by: 1) identifying the nuances of legal and policy objectives; 2) assessing the effectiveness of institutions and instruments; 3) integrating the assessment of the flexibility and adaptability of legal and governance systems into the projection of long-term pathways; and 4) responding to the urgent need to integrate climate and energy justice while still cautiously considering normative principles to be opportunities and challenges. We further argue that future climate scenario frameworks should consider law and governance at multiple scales and in distinct contexts to improve the usability, applicability, and reliability of the integrated pathways. Finally, in order to project future risks, this article suggests improvement regarding the processes, including inter- and transdisciplinary inclusion that can potentially be considered when furthering climate scenario frameworks that enhance understanding of the complex, uncertain future and the long-term consequences of certain decisions.

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author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Climate scenario, Governance, Integrated assessment models, Law, Shared climate policy assumptions (SPA), Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP)
in
Earth System Governance
volume
18
article number
100199
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85179079169
ISSN
2589-8116
DOI
10.1016/j.esg.2023.100199
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
f2ff88a9-0b80-4fab-b982-284ecc5538c8
date added to LUP
2024-01-04 10:42:23
date last changed
2024-01-04 10:42:42
@article{f2ff88a9-0b80-4fab-b982-284ecc5538c8,
  abstract     = {{<p>Shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) and shared policy assumptions (SPAs) are lauded as a common basis for climate scenario research across disciplines, yet they lack essential legal and governance elements that are indispensable when assessing future development pathways. This article sets out to address this shortcoming by explaining the interrelated but distinct features of law and governance and their downplayed roles in climate scenario research. We explore the extent to which legal and govsternance features are included in the current SSP and SPA development process and then suggest that the substance of legal and governance features in climate scenario frameworks could be enriched in four ways, by: 1) identifying the nuances of legal and policy objectives; 2) assessing the effectiveness of institutions and instruments; 3) integrating the assessment of the flexibility and adaptability of legal and governance systems into the projection of long-term pathways; and 4) responding to the urgent need to integrate climate and energy justice while still cautiously considering normative principles to be opportunities and challenges. We further argue that future climate scenario frameworks should consider law and governance at multiple scales and in distinct contexts to improve the usability, applicability, and reliability of the integrated pathways. Finally, in order to project future risks, this article suggests improvement regarding the processes, including inter- and transdisciplinary inclusion that can potentially be considered when furthering climate scenario frameworks that enhance understanding of the complex, uncertain future and the long-term consequences of certain decisions.</p>}},
  author       = {{Triyanti, Annisa and Du, Haomiao and Hegger, Dries L.T. and Driessen, Peter P.J. and van Rijswick, Helena F.M.W. and Scown, Murray and Gilissen, Herman Kasper}},
  issn         = {{2589-8116}},
  keywords     = {{Climate scenario; Governance; Integrated assessment models; Law; Shared climate policy assumptions (SPA); Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP)}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Earth System Governance}},
  title        = {{Clarifying and strengthening the role of law and governance in climate scenario frameworks}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.esg.2023.100199}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.esg.2023.100199}},
  volume       = {{18}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}