The Macroeconomic Effects of Banking Crises : Evidence from the United Kingdom, 1750-1938
(2017) In Lund Papers in Economic History: General Issues- Abstract
- This paper investigates the macroeconomic effects of UK banking crises over the period 1750 to 1938. We construct a new annual banking crisis series using bank failure rate data, which suggests that the incidence of banking crises was every 32 years. Using our new series and a narrative approach to identify exogenous banking crises, we find that industrial production contracts by 8.2 per cent in the year following a crisis. This finding is robust to a battery of checks, including different VAR specifications, different thresholds for the crisis indicator, and the use of a capital-weighted bank failure rate.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/f5c2b347-57a5-4721-90d0-6516ca0210fe
- author
- Kenny, Seán LU ; Lennard, Jason LU and Turner, John D.
- organization
- publishing date
- 2017
- type
- Working paper/Preprint
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- banking crisis, bank failures, narrative approach, macroeconomy, United Kingdom, E32, E44, G21, N13, N14, N23, N24
- in
- Lund Papers in Economic History: General Issues
- issue
- 165
- pages
- 47 pages
- publisher
- Department of Economic History, Lund University
- ISSN
- 1101-346X
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- f5c2b347-57a5-4721-90d0-6516ca0210fe
- date added to LUP
- 2017-10-11 09:10:21
- date last changed
- 2021-04-22 16:22:00
@misc{f5c2b347-57a5-4721-90d0-6516ca0210fe, abstract = {{This paper investigates the macroeconomic effects of UK banking crises over the period 1750 to 1938. We construct a new annual banking crisis series using bank failure rate data, which suggests that the incidence of banking crises was every 32 years. Using our new series and a narrative approach to identify exogenous banking crises, we find that industrial production contracts by 8.2 per cent in the year following a crisis. This finding is robust to a battery of checks, including different VAR specifications, different thresholds for the crisis indicator, and the use of a capital-weighted bank failure rate.}}, author = {{Kenny, Seán and Lennard, Jason and Turner, John D.}}, issn = {{1101-346X}}, keywords = {{banking crisis; bank failures; narrative approach; macroeconomy; United Kingdom; E32; E44; G21; N13; N14; N23; N24}}, language = {{eng}}, note = {{Working Paper}}, number = {{165}}, publisher = {{Department of Economic History, Lund University}}, series = {{Lund Papers in Economic History: General Issues}}, title = {{The Macroeconomic Effects of Banking Crises : Evidence from the United Kingdom, 1750-1938}}, url = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/33045677/LUP_165.pdf}}, year = {{2017}}, }