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HIV/AIDS-GDP Nexus? : Evidence from panel-data for African countries

Arshia, Amiri ; Gerdtham, Ulf LU orcid and Ventelou, Bruno (2012) In Economics Bulletin 32(1). p.1060-1067
Abstract
To test potential bilateral causalities relation between HIV-AIDS mortality and GDP, we propose a simple Granger noncausality test for heterogeneous panel data models. 44 African countries are selected for annual pooled data from 1990 to 2009. Results are presented for the heterogeneous noncausality hypothesis (HENC), which tests, for each cross-section unit, the nullity of all the coefficients of the lagged explanatory variable. Bilateral causality relation is observed for 5 countries out of 44 (11% of the countries in our data set). We have 18 countries of unidirectional causality, which 14 are from HIV mortality rate to GDP (43% from total), and 4 are from GDP to HIV mortality rate (9% from total). These results alert for the risk of... (More)
To test potential bilateral causalities relation between HIV-AIDS mortality and GDP, we propose a simple Granger noncausality test for heterogeneous panel data models. 44 African countries are selected for annual pooled data from 1990 to 2009. Results are presented for the heterogeneous noncausality hypothesis (HENC), which tests, for each cross-section unit, the nullity of all the coefficients of the lagged explanatory variable. Bilateral causality relation is observed for 5 countries out of 44 (11% of the countries in our data set). We have 18 countries of unidirectional causality, which 14 are from HIV mortality rate to GDP (43% from total), and 4 are from GDP to HIV mortality rate (9% from total). These results alert for the risk of epidemic trap, initiated first by the deleterious effect of HIV-Aids on countries income.
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author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
HIV-AIDS, GDP, Granger test, non-causality test, African countries
in
Economics Bulletin
volume
32
issue
1
pages
8 pages
publisher
Economics Bulletin
external identifiers
  • scopus:85050454304
ISSN
1545-2921
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
0a7b4740-76ca-4d36-a3f9-c6cca20404d3
alternative location
http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2012/Volume32/EB-12-V32-I1-P99.pdf
date added to LUP
2017-12-08 13:49:20
date last changed
2022-01-31 00:28:05
@article{0a7b4740-76ca-4d36-a3f9-c6cca20404d3,
  abstract     = {{To test potential bilateral causalities relation between HIV-AIDS mortality and GDP, we propose a simple Granger noncausality test for heterogeneous panel data models. 44 African countries are selected for annual pooled data from 1990 to 2009. Results are presented for the heterogeneous noncausality hypothesis (HENC), which tests, for each cross-section unit, the nullity of all the coefficients of the lagged explanatory variable. Bilateral causality relation is observed for 5 countries out of 44 (11% of the countries in our data set). We have 18 countries of unidirectional causality, which 14 are from HIV mortality rate to GDP (43% from total), and 4 are from GDP to HIV mortality rate (9% from total). These results alert for the risk of epidemic trap, initiated first by the deleterious effect of HIV-Aids on countries income.<br/>}},
  author       = {{Arshia, Amiri and Gerdtham, Ulf and Ventelou, Bruno}},
  issn         = {{1545-2921}},
  keywords     = {{HIV-AIDS; GDP; Granger test; non-causality test; African countries}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{03}},
  number       = {{1}},
  pages        = {{1060--1067}},
  publisher    = {{Economics Bulletin}},
  series       = {{Economics Bulletin}},
  title        = {{HIV/AIDS-GDP Nexus? : Evidence from panel-data for African countries}},
  url          = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/35549506/EB_12_V32_I1_P99.pdf}},
  volume       = {{32}},
  year         = {{2012}},
}