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Future moisture loads for building facades in Sweden: Climate change and wind-driven rain

Nik, Vahid LU orcid ; Mundt Petersen, Solof LU ; Kalagasidis, Angela Sasic and De Wilde, Pieter (2015) In Building and Environment 93. p.362-375
Abstract
This work investigates the prospective impacts of climate change on wind-driven rain (WDR) and walls through simulating the hygrothermal performance of rain screen of common vertical wall constructions for the climatic conditions of Gothenburg in Sweden. While a substantial amount of work has been done on the impact of climate change on the thermal performance of buildings, this paper studies its impact - through changes in rain, wind and other climatic parameters - on the amount of water which penetrates the outmost layer of ventilated facades. Importance of three uncertainty factors of the climate data are investigated: uncertainties from global climate models, emissions scenarios and spatial resolutions. Consistency of the results is... (More)
This work investigates the prospective impacts of climate change on wind-driven rain (WDR) and walls through simulating the hygrothermal performance of rain screen of common vertical wall constructions for the climatic conditions of Gothenburg in Sweden. While a substantial amount of work has been done on the impact of climate change on the thermal performance of buildings, this paper studies its impact - through changes in rain, wind and other climatic parameters - on the amount of water which penetrates the outmost layer of ventilated facades. Importance of three uncertainty factors of the climate data are investigated: uncertainties from global climate models, emissions scenarios and spatial resolutions. Consistency of the results is examined by modelling walls with different materials and sizes, as well as using two mathematical approaches for WDR modelling. Sensitivity of the wall simulations to the wind data is assessed by using synthetic climate with sole wind data. According to the results, higher amounts of moisture will accumulate in walls in the future; climate Uncertainties can cause variations up to 13% in the calculated 30-year average of water content and 28% in its standard deviation. Using sole wind data can augment uncertainties with up to 10% in WDR calculations, however it is possible to neglect changes in future wind data. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. (Less)
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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Climate change, Impact assessment, Wind-driven rain, Climate, uncertainty, Building facade
in
Building and Environment
volume
93
pages
362 - 375
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • wos:000361583900034
  • scopus:84938098847
ISSN
1873-684X
DOI
10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.07.012
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
84de51cf-6d2d-40b1-b0bc-744308d77fc3 (old id 8058442)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 13:15:02
date last changed
2022-02-26 20:07:33
@article{84de51cf-6d2d-40b1-b0bc-744308d77fc3,
  abstract     = {{This work investigates the prospective impacts of climate change on wind-driven rain (WDR) and walls through simulating the hygrothermal performance of rain screen of common vertical wall constructions for the climatic conditions of Gothenburg in Sweden. While a substantial amount of work has been done on the impact of climate change on the thermal performance of buildings, this paper studies its impact - through changes in rain, wind and other climatic parameters - on the amount of water which penetrates the outmost layer of ventilated facades. Importance of three uncertainty factors of the climate data are investigated: uncertainties from global climate models, emissions scenarios and spatial resolutions. Consistency of the results is examined by modelling walls with different materials and sizes, as well as using two mathematical approaches for WDR modelling. Sensitivity of the wall simulations to the wind data is assessed by using synthetic climate with sole wind data. According to the results, higher amounts of moisture will accumulate in walls in the future; climate Uncertainties can cause variations up to 13% in the calculated 30-year average of water content and 28% in its standard deviation. Using sole wind data can augment uncertainties with up to 10% in WDR calculations, however it is possible to neglect changes in future wind data. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.}},
  author       = {{Nik, Vahid and Mundt Petersen, Solof and Kalagasidis, Angela Sasic and De Wilde, Pieter}},
  issn         = {{1873-684X}},
  keywords     = {{Climate change; Impact assessment; Wind-driven rain; Climate; uncertainty; Building facade}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{362--375}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Building and Environment}},
  title        = {{Future moisture loads for building facades in Sweden: Climate change and wind-driven rain}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.07.012}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.07.012}},
  volume       = {{93}},
  year         = {{2015}},
}