Climate patterns and the stochastic dynamics of migratory birds
Jonzén, Niclas LU ; Hedenström, Anders LU ; Hjort, Christian LU ; Lindström, Åke LU
; Lundberg, Per
LU
and Andersson, A
(2002)
In Oikos
97(3).
p.329-336
- Abstract
- We analyse time series data of 17 bird species trapped at Ottenby Bird Observatory, Sweden, during spring migration 1972-1999. The species have similar demography but respond differently to variation in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - a strong determinant of winter climate in the northern Hemisphere. Species wintering in northern Europe, compared to species having winter quarters in the Mediterranean area, tend to respond positively to variation in NAO. The variation within each group is high due to wide-ranging winter-distribution in many species, probably smoothing out the effect of spatial variation in NAO. Whereas mild winters (high NAO) are benign for many - but not all - birds wintering in northern Europe, the effect of... (More)
- We analyse time series data of 17 bird species trapped at Ottenby Bird Observatory, Sweden, during spring migration 1972-1999. The species have similar demography but respond differently to variation in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - a strong determinant of winter climate in the northern Hemisphere. Species wintering in northern Europe, compared to species having winter quarters in the Mediterranean area, tend to respond positively to variation in NAO. The variation within each group is high due to wide-ranging winter-distribution in many species, probably smoothing out the effect of spatial variation in NAO. Whereas mild winters (high NAO) are benign for many - but not all - birds wintering in northern Europe, the effect of drier-than-normal conditions in the Mediterranean area during high NAO index winters is uncertain. The work presented here goes beyond simple correlative studies and help identifying which species that are most affected by variation in winter climate. This is a first important step that calls for a more mechanistic approach when analysing possible changes to climate change. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/145549
- author
- Jonzén, Niclas
LU
; Hedenström, Anders
LU
; Hjort, Christian
LU
; Lindström, Åke
LU
; Lundberg, Per
LU
and Andersson, A
- organization
- publishing date
- 2002
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- in
- Oikos
- volume
- 97
- issue
- 3
- pages
- 329 - 336
- publisher
- Wiley-Blackwell
- external identifiers
-
- wos:000177002200003
- scopus:0036068512
- ISSN
- 1600-0706
- DOI
- 10.1034/j.1600-0706.2002.970303.x
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- a06b2dfa-bbf3-4288-932d-109ad0b21d8d (old id 145549)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 12:16:39
- date last changed
- 2022-02-03 20:01:35
@article{a06b2dfa-bbf3-4288-932d-109ad0b21d8d,
abstract = {{We analyse time series data of 17 bird species trapped at Ottenby Bird Observatory, Sweden, during spring migration 1972-1999. The species have similar demography but respond differently to variation in the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) - a strong determinant of winter climate in the northern Hemisphere. Species wintering in northern Europe, compared to species having winter quarters in the Mediterranean area, tend to respond positively to variation in NAO. The variation within each group is high due to wide-ranging winter-distribution in many species, probably smoothing out the effect of spatial variation in NAO. Whereas mild winters (high NAO) are benign for many - but not all - birds wintering in northern Europe, the effect of drier-than-normal conditions in the Mediterranean area during high NAO index winters is uncertain. The work presented here goes beyond simple correlative studies and help identifying which species that are most affected by variation in winter climate. This is a first important step that calls for a more mechanistic approach when analysing possible changes to climate change.}},
author = {{Jonzén, Niclas and Hedenström, Anders and Hjort, Christian and Lindström, Åke and Lundberg, Per and Andersson, A}},
issn = {{1600-0706}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{3}},
pages = {{329--336}},
publisher = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
series = {{Oikos}},
title = {{Climate patterns and the stochastic dynamics of migratory birds}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0706.2002.970303.x}},
doi = {{10.1034/j.1600-0706.2002.970303.x}},
volume = {{97}},
year = {{2002}},
}